[NL20-NL50] FR25 - equity on the fly

    • chocular77
      chocular77
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,102
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $17,64
      UTG2:
      $21,42
      MP1:
      $4,65
      Hero:
      $30,65
      BU:
      $11,5

      0,15/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8:club: , 7:club:
      UTG2 calls $0,25, MP1 calls $0,25, MP2 folds, Hero calls $0,25, CO folds, BU calls $0,25, SB calls $0,10, BB checks.

      Flop: ($1,50) J:club: , 9:diamond: , 2:club: (6 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, UTG2 checks, MP1 checks, Hero bets $1,5, 4 folds, MP1 calls $1,50.

      Turn: ($4,50) A:diamond: (2 players)
      MP1 raises $2,9 (All-In), Hero folds, MP1 gets uncalled bet back (All-In).

      Need 28% equity (without rake) to call.
      While playing i just thought i had about 12outsx2 = 24% equity which isn't enough.

      With the equilab i can see that i have 27% equity against AK so it was closer than i thought.

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 27.27% 27.27% 0.00% 8c7c
      MP3 72.73% 72.73% 0.00% AsKh


      Final Pot: $4,50
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I think it is close and since you have no showdown value (he can bluffing there QT and you still loose to Q high, fold seems more correct than doubling up shortstack where you can stack him next time your tp hands or overpairs.