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[NL2-NL10] river decision?

    • yaxkukmian
      Joined: 24.12.2007 Posts: 2,020
      MP 1,7k hands/19/17
      CO 75 hands/50/0
      SB 60 hands/80/3
      BB 177 hands/45/25/42 wtsd/44w$sd/22 folds to cbet

      It's quite a dry flop so there is no need to bet it higher. When BB calls I give him some SD + pair. He's pretty loose but he might have even some PP.

      On turn I decide to make my decision on river easier, since only pot stays. I think here is a good spot for overbetting, right?

      On river my initial thought was to shove. Then I changed it to 1/2 pot. Then I saw some 2 pair combo that could pay me out. Then I said he might have some A-K9 so he will pay only 1/2 pot bet. And then I timeouted...

      8 is in his range but more often he has 2 pair in my opinion. I still don't know what is better line?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($13.16)
      BB ($33.49)
      UTG ($10)
      UTG+1 ($10.19)
      CO ($7.75)
      Hero ($12.04)

      Dealt to Hero 6:club: 6:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.30, fold, Hero calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB calls $0.20

      FLOP ($1.20) 6:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart:

      SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.95, SB folds, BB calls $0.95, UTG+1 folds

      TURN ($3.10) 6:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart: 7:club:

      BB checks, Hero bets $2.70, BB calls $2.70

      RIVER ($8.50) 6:diamond: 2:club: 9:heart: 7:club: T:spade:

      BB checks, Hero checks

      Hero shows 6:club: 6:spade:
      (Pre 80%, Flop 82.5%, Turn 81.8%)

      BB shows 5:diamond: 4:diamond:
      (Pre 20%, Flop 17.5%, Turn 18.2%)

      Hero wins $7.94
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello yaxkukmian,

      Not the greatest card on the river, most likely I'd also rather Check behind there while not many worse hands Call you anyways. But obviously if you even want to pick the thin value then maximum of 1/2 pot size bet would be my bet.

      I think here is a good spot for overbetting, right?

      Nah, I wouldn't really want that and then face a raise while even some draws completed.

      Best Regards.