[NL2-NL10] Sh10 Aa

    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      set or busted draw?

      20/15/af=6/wts=23/w$s/38

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $8.60
      MP3:
      $10.00
      CO (Hero):
      $10.00
      BU:
      $10.74
      SB:
      $10.22
      BB:
      $11.45


      Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, BU calls $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($1) 8, 4, Q (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.76, BU folds, SB raises to $2.90, Hero calls $2.14.

      Turn: ($6.8) 8 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($6.8) K (2 players)
      SB raises to $7.02(All-In), Hero calls $6.80.

      Final Pot: $20.62.
  • 6 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello sausage646,

      Doubt that he is going to have that many sets in his range there. QQ isn't that likely since he would most likely squeeze with it. So only 44. For that given reason I'd just Bet myself on the turn than Check it behind. Or another option would be to just get it in right on flop if you expect the opponent to Check/Raise with draws and maybe even Qx hands.

      Best Regards.
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      flop/ (doubt - he is calling more suited aces pre flop or check raising 1 pair hands since I am c betting in 3 people..)
      AdTd,AdJd,AdKd,KdQd,44,88 - 70,919%
      AcAh - 29,081%

      ok to call flop?

      turn/
      AdTd,AdJd,AdKd,KdQd,44,88 - 57,102%
      AcAh - 42,898%

      ok to go broke on turn?
    • nobode
      nobode
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.01.2011 Posts: 20
      Originally posted by sausage646
      flop/ (doubt - he is calling more suited aces pre flop or check raising 1 pair hands since I am c betting in 3 people..)
      AdTd,AdJd,AdKd,KdQd,44,88 - 70,919%
      AcAh - 29,081%

      ok to call flop?

      turn/
      AdTd,AdJd,AdKd,KdQd,44,88 - 57,102%
      AcAh - 42,898%

      ok to go broke on turn?
      That's an incredibly tight range he's going to continue with on the flop, though. If he's aggressive, he's going to check/raise you with a much wider range, I think.

      If you think, his only draw here would be nut flush draws, high flush draws, flush draw+tpgk, flush draw+gutshot:

      Hand 0: 58.275% { AcAh }
      Hand 1: 41.725% { AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd }

      ,or even with set possibility:

      Hand 0: 42.727% { AcAh }
      Hand 1: 57.273% { 88, 44, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd }

      If he's aggressive, he might check/raise you with quite a lot more hands though like a lot of Qx type of hand, so I wouldn't mind just ship it on the flop.

      On the turn, I would certainly bet for value and protection against a lot of draws in his range since you also have plenty of equity against him:

      Hand 0: 61.497% { AcAh }
      Hand 1: 38.503% { 88, 44, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, Ad9d, Ad7d, Ad6d, Ad5d, Ad3d, Ad2d, KdQd, QdJd, QdTd, JdTd }
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      thats grate nobode - did you consider his pre flop calling range? playing dominated aces out of position 3 way ? , he doesn't look like a really bad player - more likely some standard reg..
      but yh I agree we should put in suited broad way hands, but still he probably would squeeze whit most of his Broadway hands.. ( i don't remember his 3b, and squeeze stats- but they were some what standard)

      44,88,AdTd,AdJd,AdQd,AdKd,KdQd,QdJd,JdTd,Td9d - 64,141%
      AcAh - 35,859%
    • nobode
      nobode
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.01.2011 Posts: 20
      Well, I guess it's quite dependent on the villain. A lot of people call with suited aces in the small blind especially against a raise and a cold call because of the odds and for the flush possibility not for top pair. If you think he's the kind of player who's going to squeeze with these hands more than call behind, though, you're probably correct with the hand range there. If the villain were me, I probably would play that same way. :P
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      ok to call flop?

      Well, if you did put such a range on him. You should know already the answer, shouldn't you?


      ok to go broke on turn?

      Yes, as I went that far I am betting and going broke.