[NL20-NL50] Nl50 AJo sh

    • jachis
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      4 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      CO ($84.11)
      hero (BTN) ($49.84)
      SB ($28.74)
      BB ($124.34)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 4 players) hero is BTN J:diamond: A:spade:
      1 fold, hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1

      Flop: 10:heart: K:diamond: 8:diamond: ($4.50, 3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, hero bets $2.50, SB folds, BB raises to $8

      Final Pot: $15

      Villain is a 28/21 reg who just loves to squeeze and he'd deff 3bet AK, KK, TT or 88 so I discount that from his range. Against a range like this KTs,QJs,T8s,AdQd,QdTd,9d7d,KTo,QJo I have almost 50% equity.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      If he is 3-betting with 88 I think he would also 3-bet with AdQd. I doubt you really have 50% equity that you mentioned, but strangely you still have 47% equity:
      board: ThKd8d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      KTs,QJs,T8s,QdTd,9d7d,KTo,QJ 52.53% 12,951 99
      AsJd 47.47% 11,700 99

      Even if you add 88 and KQ his c/r range, you still have there 39% equity:
      board: ThKd8d
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      KTs,QJs,T8s,QdTd,9d7d,KTo,QJ, KQ, 88 61.06% 24,129 99
      AsJd 38.94% 15,372 99

      so you can consider b/c flop, but problem is what would you do on the turn. You can´t really call on J turn, so that leaves A and maybe diamonds where you can continue with your hand. So if you want to float I´d personally prefer having AdJs that could allow me to shove on diamonds expecting to have fold equity against worse draws+maybe some Kx hands.

      Btw if I add blank on the turn, your equity remains the same:
      board: ThKd8d2s
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      KTs,QJs,T8s,QdTd,9d7d,KTo,QJ 52.73% 580 0
      AsJd 47.27% 520 0

      so you then also can´t really fold turn, so if you feel you have some fold equity you can also shove, since I don´t think you can call him down 3 streets with A high