[NL20-NL50] nl25 33 set

    • Mauzer77
      Mauzer77
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.03.2008 Posts: 1,926
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($26.45)
      BB ($25)
      UTG ($14.57)
      UTG+1 ($13)
      CO ($18.20)
      BTN ($25.27)

      Dealt to Hero 3:heart: 3:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.25, fold, CO raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.40, fold, UTG calls $0.25

      FLOP ($1.75) 7:diamond: 4:club: 3:club:

      Hero checks, UTG checks, CO bets $1.25, Hero raises to $4.25, UTG calls $4.25, CO folds

      TURN ($11.50) 7:diamond: 4:club: 3:club: J:club:

      Hero checks, UTG bets $9.82 (AI), Hero folds

      UTG wins $10.93


      Hi!

      Villain after 30 hands 23/12, CO 50 vpip fish

      What is the best on turn? I think I played well, but not sure.

      Ty
  • 4 replies
    • antstruk
      antstruk
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.08.2010 Posts: 494
      Yea well played, nothing you could do here.

      In a way your lucky he shoves, I think you lost the minimum here.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      Not really sure if I want to c/f turn with set against midstack.
      He may have there flushdraws, but how often would 23/12 have there flushdraw, rather than example some kind of pp (like 88/99), so I would personally shove turn.
      Even if you c/c then you get 2.17:1 pot odds. So you need to have 31,5% equity to call his turn shove.

      Against flush you have 23% equity:

      board: 7d4c3cJc
      Hand Equity Wins Ties
      Ac6c 77.27% 102 0
      33 22.73% 30 0

      so you don´t even get that big mistake to get all-in against flush and he can always have there worse hands (like 9c9d) that would call your turn shove.
    • Mauzer77
      Mauzer77
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.03.2008 Posts: 1,926
      Actually I added oversets (44-77) in his range too, does it make sense? Maybe flop straight too. His line seems to be strong for me, think he would fold 88-99 or if call, check turn.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think he should most of the times just shove 77/44 on the flop. He may have there smt like 5c6c where he has no reason to shove, but players would generally also play quick their nut hands on drawy boards
      Agree that is likely he would check flop back with 88/99, but also I think he would call shove 88c and 99c also picking up flushdraw+ pot is quite big, so I think he might easily call your shove and even if he folds why do you want to give free card against player who has 11 outs against your set.