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[NL2-NL10] NL2 FR - AT two pair laydown on turn

    • numbnutter
      numbnutter
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.09.2011 Posts: 139
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

      Known players:
      BU:
      $2.00
      SB:
      $1.49
      BB:
      $0.80
      MP1:
      $2.21
      MP2:
      $1.16
      MP3:
      $1.85
      CO (Hero):
      $2.00


      Preflop: Hero is CO with T, A.
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0.08, BU calls $0.08, 2 folds, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.19) Q, A, T (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.20, BU calls $0.20.

      Turn: ($0.59) 5 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.42, BU raises to $0.84, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $1.01.

      Was so tempted to call this one but I didn't think he would bluff with too much here, my guess was most likely KJ or AQ.. did I give him too much credit though or was this a good laydown?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello numbnutter,

      Well, it's really close here. If we expect him rather not to overplay his TP type of hands like AJ/AK this then then most likely I'd also consider folding here. Since if we expect to have only A5 the only hand what we beat, we ain't getting very good equity:

      Board: Q:diamond: A:diamond: T:club:  5:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    25.81%  25.08%   0.73% { AsTh }
      UTG+1  74.19%  73.46%   0.73% { AQs, A5s, KJs, AQo, A5o, KJo }

      While I didn't even include QQ/TT which could be also possible. But for example if we consider the guy to also have AJ/AK in his range then our equity turns a lot into better way:

      Board: Q:diamond: A:diamond: T:club:  5:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    44.52%  44.06%   0.46% { AsTh }
      UTG+1  55.48%  55.01%   0.46% { AJs+, A5s, KJs, AJo+, A5o, KJo }

      Although even here you see kinda close spot. So most likely made a safe fold.

      Best Regards.