[NL2-NL10] NL10 MSS SH - implied odds?

    • viccini
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 337
      Villain is 38/14/7.5/13 VP/PF/AF/WTSD. db = 33%(6)

      Do I have enough implied odds here if I can assume he might bet at least 1/2 pot again on the turn or should I just fold my hand on the flop?


      $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
      6 Players
      Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

      UTG elnenelx ($2.47)
      UTG+1 billys1989 ($6.75)
      CO pizzakev ($6.54)
      BTN Hero ($4.35)
      SB Prima31 ($11.16)
      BB grump15 ($17.89)

      Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 6 players) Hero is BTN 8:diamond: 9:diamond:
      2 folds, pizzakev calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.35, 1 fold, grump15 calls $0.25, pizzakev calls $0.25

      Flop: 10:diamond: 3:diamond: 2:spade: ($1.10, 3 players)
      grump15 bets $0.82, pizzakev folds, Hero calls $0.82

      Turn: 4:spade: ($2.74, 2 players)
      grump15 bets $2.05, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $4.79

      grump15 wins $4.66 (net +$1.44)

      pizzakev lost $0.35
      Hero lost $1.17
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678

      Assuming you have the ''nuts'' when you hit your flush you need 4.2:1 on the Flop. Pot odds directly you get is like 1.9:0.8 so roughly 2:1

      Now you need 2.2:1 more so you need to extract roughly $1.75 on the Turn with your flush and be good. It is a bit annoying having the 9hi flushdraw for 2 reasons:
      1* it ain't the nutflushdraw
      2* if he has Tx, he might give up on the Turn because it is kinda obvious what you have

      So for this you have to see for yourself, his WTSd indicates a low % so you can give arguments he ain't giving u money

      Best regards,