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[NL20-NL50] SH 3b pot overpair vs x/r on the flop

    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Platinum
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      IPoker Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1529674
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $53.25 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2.5, Hands: 774
      BB: $70.50 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 20, 3B: 6, AF: 2.5, Hands: 54
      UTG: $50.00 - VPIP: 25, PFR: 24, 3B: 16, AF: Infinity, Hands: 55
      CO: $50.00 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 24, 3B: 10, AF: 2.2, Hands: 128
      Hero (BTN): $53.00 - VPIP: 22, PFR: 18, 3B: 6, AF: 2.9, Hands: 70539

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BTN with J :spade: J :club:
      1 fold, CO raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, CO calls $3

      Flop: ($9.75) 9 :diamond: 3 :club: 7 :club: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $4.87, CO raises to $15, Hero raises to $48.50, CO calls $30.50 all in

      Turn: ($100.75) 5 :club: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      River: ($100.75) 8 :diamond: (2 players - 1 is all in)

      call fold or shove without reads?
  • 3 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      shove should most of the times be standard. He may easily c/r with draws or for example TT that spot. It is very unlucky if he hit his set and I think players are not good enough to b/c pf with QQ-AA to then c/r flop.
      So you´re either ahead most of the times or sometimes flipping against draws, but that shouldn´t be reason to fold your hand.

      Best regards,
    • gonepoker
      gonepoker
      Platinum
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Hi,

      shove should most of the times be standard. He may easily c/r with draws or for example TT that spot. It is very unlucky if he hit his set and I think players are not good enough to b/c pf with QQ-AA to then c/r flop.
      So you´re either ahead most of the times or sometimes flipping against draws, but that shouldn´t be reason to fold your hand.

      Best regards,
      but you never expect him to x/r air?
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi, that is always one option. But I think with JJ there can be so many overcards (even if he has there complete air) that you would rather want to take pot down on the flop.