[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH A6s FD+GS vs shortstack

    • moniukas
      moniukas
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.09.2010 Posts: 11
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BB:
      $9.20
      MP3:
      $9.45
      CO:
      $13.86
      BU (Hero):
      $17.85
      SB:
      $3.50


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 6, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, SB calls $0.25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0.7) 9, 8, 5 (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.40, SB calls $0.40.

      Turn: ($1.5) 3 (2 players)
      SB bets $1.13, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $1.5.


      SB stats after 173 hands:
      36/24
      agg 2.7
      wts 16

      Do i have enough outs to push here?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello moniukas,

      Well, while there is only one card to come our equity isn't going to be very good with just pure draw. The question is with what kind of hands he could be donking like that. Usually it's towards to made hand. We would need ~40% equity here and against strong made hands we ain't even getting it:

      Board: 9:club: 8:club: 5:diamond:  3:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    29.13%  28.79%   0.34% { Ac6c }
      UTG+1  70.87%  70.53%   0.34% { 88+, 55, A9s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, A9o, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o }

      Which makes me rather to fold there as well.

      Best Regards.