# [NL2-NL10] Kk

• Bronze
Joined: 14.02.2010
Known players:
CO = (\$9.66)
BU = (\$12.50)
SB = (\$4.56)
BB = (\$7.11) villain 47/14 af4.0 cbet100 fcbet50 66hands
MP2 (Hero) = (\$13.02)
MP3 = (\$10.87)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K , K .
Hero raises to \$0.40, 4 folds, BB calls \$0.30.

Flop: (\$0.85) 8 , A , K (2 players)
BB bets \$0.40, Hero raises to \$1.10, BB calls \$0.70.

Turn: (\$3.05) Q (2 players)
BB bets \$0.40, Hero raises to \$2.05, BB calls \$1.65.

River: (\$7.15) J (2 players)
BB raises to \$3.56(All-In), Hero calls \$3.56.
• 6 replies
• Black
Joined: 27.11.2008
while he might have some random TX like AT KT QT JT T8, he could also have a ton of busted flushdraws or even play sets in a stupid manner.

You are getting 25% pot odds

What you lose to
AT (12 combos)
KT (4 combos)
QT/JT (32 combos)
T8s (3 combos)

51 combos (now you need him to only have at least 17 bluff combos to have the necessary odds to call here)

What you beat
-Busted Flushdraws (perhaps at least 20-30 combos?) - A VPIP 47 player plays a lot of suited junk
-random 2pairs or 88 (5-10 combos?)

While he is not going to valuebet worse that often, he's still a donk and we won't know for sure, especially given such great odds, we have to call. If it was a pot size bet on the river then our odds will be 33% and this would be much closer then. If it was an overbet then I would lean towards a fold, because a T is very much in his range, especially gutshots like QT and JT.
• Bronze
Joined: 14.02.2010
Ty coach
• Bronze
Joined: 30.03.2010
flop - raise size ~ 1.75
turn - over pot size shove - 4.96\$ (his stack) (pot 4.35)
-------> he is going to call anyway whit his 2pairs, 88 and probably draws.
• Black
Joined: 20.07.2008
Hello cozacu,

Flop: Well, as we see you have a huge leak in raise/bet sizes. You have to fix it or you just in long run will either loose too much money or not win enough. The raise size should be here ~pot size, which would be 3x his bet size + pot = ?

As played
Turn: He doesn't have much left anymore, I don't really see why we should raise so small. While our normal raise would be more than half of his stack then just ship it here.

As played
River: For the given odds and our bad play, well... there ain't even much to comment. Should re-read about previous street and wouldn't even be here.

Best Regards.
• Bronze
Joined: 14.02.2010
thx veriz for breaking it down.I can see you are right.That was a really bad play
• Black
Joined: 20.07.2008
Originally posted by cozacu
thx veriz for breaking it down.I can see you are right.That was a really bad play
From mistakes we learn.