[NL2-NL10] Nl4 Aq

    • 0744379
      Joined: 02.06.2011 Posts: 435
      Party, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      CO: $5.50 (137.5 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $4 (100 bb)
      MP2: $4.04 (101 bb)
      MP1: $4.85 (121.2 bb)
      UTG+2: $5.20 (130 bb)
      SB: $6.29 (157.3 bb)
      BB: $4 (100 bb)
      MP3: $4.57 (114.3 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A Q
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.16, SB folds, BB calls $0.12

      Flop: ($0.34) J 3 K (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, BB calls $0.24

      Turn: ($0.82) 6 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, BB folds

      Results: $0.82 pot ($0.04 rake)
      Final Board: J 3 K 6
      Hero mucked A Q and won $0.78 ($0.38 net)
      BB mucked and lost (-$0.40 net)

      I decided to bet the turn aswell. I thought the flop was good for a cbet. I then thought of my low turn cbet stat and decided to bet the blank turn in position.
      What do you think?
      I know there was a flush draw on board but I still thought a turn bet would be profitable. Villain had stats of 25/12/0 for 294 hands.

      Should I be value betting this kind of player instead of bluffing hoping he will fold?
  • 2 replies
    • ShaQQ
      Joined: 07.10.2008 Posts: 162
      I don't like the continued aggression on the turn, I'd prefer to pot control and re-evaluate river, cbet is great. If you had more equity on the turn then barrel for sure, and turning blank rivers into a bluff a certain amount of time. Have you got the stats for villains turn / river aggression? Or general AF, I'll answer both situations though in this post due to having to shoot out, but if villain is super aggro post flop I pot control 100% of the time, if he's loose but passive then barrelling the turn is great and definitely profitable, oh thirdly if he's a nit I give up when called and bink a T and barrel away :D
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello 0744379,

      If he would be playing SH with those stats then most likely it's doable since he may easily fold worse PPs/Jx hands even there. But while it's FR I am not a huge fan of doing that against a rather looser opponent unless I see his WTSD or any other information.

      But of course overall your idea might work against some more TAG players.

      Best Regards.