[NL2-NL10] Odds vs. hand

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

      Known players:
      MP3:
      $8.76
      CO:
      $1.93
      BU (Hero):
      $5.17
      SB:
      $2.26
      BB:
      $4.32
      UTG2:
      $2.93
      MP1:
      $1.57
      MP2:
      $2.31


      Preflop: Hero is BU with A, T.
      5 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, SB raises to $0.40, BB calls $0.35, Hero calls $0.25.

      Flop: ($1.2) 3, 9, 5 (3 players)
      SB bets $0.65, BB calls $0.65, Hero calls $0.65.

      Turn: ($3.15) 4 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, SB folds.

      River: ($6.15) T (2 players)
      BB bets $1.77, Hero calls $1.77.

      Final Pot: $9.69.
      Results follow:


      Hero shows a pair of tens(A T).BB shows three of a kind, nines(9 9).BB wins with three of a kind, nines(9 9).


      BB stats:38/13/2.7/270 hands
  • 2 replies
    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 563
      Hello,

      He calls SB's 3b so I think he has hands like AK, QQ-JJ(rarely AA,KK). On the turn he either bets to protect his hands or semi bluff with his AKs(which I kinda doubt this as he bets the river as well) Anyway, you don't have the odds to call on the turn, you only got 18 while you need 25. I don't include the aces as outs as it was dominated by his range. Did I guess his range correctly? :f_cry: Missed it.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Preflop: Rather fold the hand here. The problem is that your Ace is going to be so often dominated and you may easily make a lot mistakes postflop. :(

      As played
      Postflop: Most likely I'd just fold the turn while you can't be sure how good your implied odds are going to be, neither what kind of outs are clean. Also the river is rather just a fold, I mean you don't beat much there anyways and exactly for that kind of reason rather fold preflop to avoid exactly such calldowns.

      Best Regards.