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[NL2-NL10] 99 3bet

    • Shady9966
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.05(BB) Replayer
      SB ($5.81)
      Hero ($5.35)
      UTG ($5.50)
      CO ($2.43)
      BTN ($5.44)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:club:

      fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.15, fold, Hero raises to $0.45, BTN calls $0.30

      FLOP ($0.92) 6:diamond: 4:spade: K:heart:

      Hero bets $0.61, BTN calls $0.61

      TURN ($2.14) 6:diamond: 4:spade: K:heart: 2:spade:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      RIVER ($2.14) 6:diamond: 4:spade: K:heart: 2:spade: A:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      Hero shows 9:diamond: 9:club:
      (Pre 55%, Flop 8.8%, Turn 4.5%)

      BTN shows Q:diamond: K:spade:
      (Pre 45%, Flop 91.2%, Turn 95.5%)

      BTN wins $2.04

      20/13 steal 21% 257 hands AF 1.9

      should i bet the river and represent the ace?
  • 1 reply
    • luizsilveira
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Hi Shady!

      I think your 3bet is too much to the small side - especially for this limit. Don't forget you're playing out of position; there is nothing wrong in raising a bit bigger out of position (say, 4x) and a tiny bit smaller (say 3,5x) in position. But 3x out of position in these limits is too small.

      Also, why are you 3betting 99? For value or as a bluff?

      You opponent looks very tight so I don't see a reason to 3bet as a bluff (moreover, you didn't bring us his fold to 3bet/resteal stat). I don't see him calling with many worse hands as well so your 3bet is not really for value...

      As played I think it's absolutely fine. I *really* don't believe a tight/thinking player would fold the river to a bet - either with his KQ or any other holding like JJ. If you have a K you barrel turn for value; much of your Ax range is indeed AK! And if you have a weak ace you 3bet for bluff you're not necessarily betting for thin value (which could be ok but that's another topic).

      All in all, I think since you've shown weakness on the turn it's fine to just give up the hand and save the chips.