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[NL20-NL50] SH TPTK river decision

    • gonepoker
      Joined: 15.05.2009 Posts: 439
      Prima Network $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1545680
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      SB: $19.46
      BB: $71.30
      Hero (UTG)
      MP: $48.79
      CO: $87.50
      BTN: $62.35 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 14, 3B: 6, AF: 1.8, Hands: 389

      Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with K :club: A :club:
      Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, BTN calls $2, 2 folds

      Flop: ($4.75) Q :heart: K :heart: 4 :spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $3.50, BTN calls $3.50

      Turn: ($11.75) 2 :diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $6.00, Hero calls $6

      River: ($23.75) T :club: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets $17.00, Hero folds

      I think folding is a right thing vs this guy. He isn't loose and I doubt he is bluffing enough to make a call profitable. Do you agree?
      If he was on the looser side and more aggressive I guess I should call, right?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Just wonder what hands would you ever go to showdown if you c/f that spot AK. I would personally bet again turn for value or if I check then I think c/r turn would be better option (if you don´t c/r turn then c/c him down, since he may easily get you rid of AQ/JJ so you need to have hands that can also call river bet)

      I would not fold that river card, since only AJ got there and he should have enough missed flushdraws to call him down profitable and you can never be sure he is valuebetting himself AK

      Best regards,