[NL2-NL10] KJs flush call shove

    • Shady9966
      Shady9966
      Global
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($19.95)
      BB ($14.41)
      CO ($8.97)
      Hero ($10)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: J:spade:

      fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BB raises to $0.50, Hero calls $0.20

      FLOP ($1.05) 9:spade: 3:spade: Q:diamond:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.60, BB raises to $13.91 (AI), Hero calls $8.90 (AI)

      TURN ($20.05) 9:spade: 3:spade: Q:diamond: T:spade:

      RIVER ($20.05) 9:spade: 3:spade: Q:diamond: T:spade: 5:club:

      BB shows Q:club: Q:spade:
      (Pre 68%, Flop 67.2%, Turn 22.7%)

      Hero shows K:spade: J:spade:
      (Pre 32%, Flop 32.8%, Turn 77.3%)

      Hero wins $19.05

      63/29 AF11.5 3BET 11.5 ( mostly like this one ) w#sd 44 hands 125

      yeah i dunno i feel like his bluffing since i saw him doing this 4 time in 3 orbits or so.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      Nah, I don't like that much the Call on the flop. I mean I really doubt that he is ever bluffing this way. We need ~45% equity here and even if we add some made hands here:

      Board: 9:spade: 3:spade: Q:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    55.62%  55.57%   0.05% { QQ+, 99, AQs, AQo }
      UTG+1  44.38%  44.33%   0.05% { KsJs }

      We still are pretty much break-even run. Rather just fold it with just draw.

      Best Regards.