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[NL2-NL10] 99 bad play

    • Shady9966
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($11.23)
      Hero ($11.59)
      UTG ($3.83)
      UTG+1 ($2.44)
      CO ($11.56)
      BTN ($8.24)

      Dealt to Hero 9:diamond: 9:spade:

      fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, fold, Hero checks

      FLOP ($0.25) 5:heart: 6:spade: 4:club:

      Hero bets $0.17, UTG+1 calls $0.17

      TURN ($0.59) 5:heart: 6:spade: 4:club: 6:diamond:

      Hero bets $0.41, UTG+1 raises to $0.82, Hero raises to $11.32 (AI), UTG+1 calls $1.35 (AI)

      RIVER ($4.93) 5:heart: 6:spade: 4:club: 6:diamond: J:spade:

      UTG+1 shows 6:heart: K:spade:
      (Pre 30%, Flop 21.8%, Turn 95.5%)

      Hero shows 9:diamond: 9:spade:
      (Pre 70%, Flop 78.2%, Turn 4.5%)

      UTG+1 wins $4.69


      one question if i raise and he shoves can i call here? preflop
  • 2 replies
    • toteatoo
      Joined: 15.11.2011 Posts: 250
      On turn there is full house draw and if opponent is raising your bet it is probable he is holding something. On flop he could be possibly slowplaying made straight (as he limped preflop in his range could be something like 23s, 67s) and on turn after your second bet could be raising for value. But here is also possible full house with limped suited connectors like 56s. So I probably wouldn't call his all in. Also he is short stacked, so he is probably having stronger hand than your overpair.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      Preflop: Against such a limp with my 99 I am most likely even ahead, especially vs 69% limp range:

             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    32.48%  32.10%   0.38% { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J2s+, T2s+, 93s+, 84s+, 74s+, 64s+, 53s+, A2o+, K2o+, Q3o+, J5o+, T6o+, 96o+, 86o+, 76o }
      UTG+1  67.52%  67.15%   0.38% { 99 }

      So I'd raise it up. :)

      As played
      Postflop: Don't like your Bet/Broke on the turn at all. There are so many hands which beat you, I'd really rather give up my hand. Rather play your hand aggressively preflop than on such a board where it could be very likely that he has you even beat, especially after him min-raising you.

      Best Regards.