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[NL20-NL50] NL20 FR KK fold topset river

    • muel294
      Joined: 06.06.2009 Posts: 1,225
      In hind sight I really hate my blockbet/fold line on the river. It is only a straight that has me beat here and he can quite easily have 55/44/QQ/KQ here and take the same line since villain is LP.

      I think c/c river is best since I think even such a passive player is unlikey to check behind 2pr+ and sets on the river and will "value" bet with worse often. At the time I didnt feel comfortable c/c'ing the lot off on the river since he can easily have something like A2o/Ac2c/67o/67s.

      I dont mind blockbet/fold the river but it puts me in a difficult spot since he might take the same line with worse hands.

      I would appreciate BGawli's thoughts since he saw the hand take place.

      Pacific Poker - $0.20 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      UTG+1: $13.59
      MP: $43.26
      MP+1: $13.01 (39/7/1.1/29/393 hands)
      CO: $21.47
      BTN: $22.82
      SB: $24.20
      Hero (BB): $31.13
      UTG: $20.00

      SB posts SB $0.10, Hero posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero has K:spade: K:heart:

      fold, fold, MP calls $0.20, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.20, MP calls $1.00

      Flop: ($2.50, 2 players) Q:diamond: 5:club: 4:spade:
      Hero bets $1.47, MP calls $1.47

      Turn: ($5.44, 2 players) K:club:
      Hero bets $3.48, MP calls $3.48

      River: ($12.40, 2 players) 3:heart:
      Hero bets $3.00, MP raises to $17.60, fold

      MP wins $17.48
  • 3 replies
    • gambleallin
      Joined: 03.06.2011 Posts: 89
      id bet the river higher tbh and go broke.. theres so many worse hands he could have there. dont know what the coach thinks? just my look at it :)
    • ppedrin
      Joined: 24.04.2010 Posts: 917
      I think is vital to post his most important stats too to make an idea about his tendencies.

      If I'm right on the river you need 44% Equity vs his hand range to make this a break even call.

      If he is a really passive player I don't think that you can call profitable here.Due to big raise on the river I think this can be a decent range for him 55-44, A2s, 76s, A2o, KQo, 76o, although I am not really sure if he slow plays 55 and 44.Anyway, we need here to wide enough his range to make a profitable call.But for example if we simply get away A2o and 76o and leave only suited we will have 52% and this will be a good call for us.

      If I know that he can chase with OESD and gutshots here I would obviously bet more on the flop and turn, something like 2.3$ on the flop and like 5.5 or 6 on the turn.And probably shove on the river no matter what.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      This isn´t omaha that you should b/f your top set against some random fish when straight draw completed. He can easily have there some Axcc bluff or raising for value lower sets and 39/7 isn´t really player who I´m looking to make hero folds.

      So bet 7$ on the river and call shove or if you bet 3$ then you´re inducing raise definitely from worse hands.

      Best regards,