[NL2-NL10] AKs Turn and river right

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,808
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      SB (Hero):
      $15.95
      BB:
      $5.00
      UTG1:
      $6.03
      UTG2:
      $5.00
      MP1:
      $2.85
      MP2:
      $4.09
      MP3:
      $7.02
      CO:
      $3.93
      BU:
      $6.40


      Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K.
      4 folds, MP3 raises to $0.15, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, BB folds, MP3 calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.95) Q, 5, 4 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.70, MP3 calls $0.70.

      Turn: ($2.35) Q (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $1.12, Hero calls $1.12.


      River: ($4.59) K (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP3 bets $2.18, Hero calls $2.18.

      Final Pot: $8.95.
      Results follow:


      Hero shows two pairs, kings and queens(A K).MP3 shows a pair of queens(7 6).Hero wins with two pairs, kings and queens(A K).


      MP1 stats: 36/22/4.0/WTSD 25%(36)/W$SD 33%(9)/cbet 78%(9)/132 hands
      Fto3bet 0%(4)/Fto3betCbet 50%(2)/regular Ftocbet 38%(8)

      Turn I have the correct implied odds as I need 2,35$ left from his stack to call this.On the river to make my call break even I need 24,38%. Giving the following range to this aggressive player:

      Board: Q:club: 5:club: 4:heart:  Q:heart:  K:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    49.38%  49.38%   0.00% { AcKc }
      UTG+1  50.62%  50.62%   0.00% { 44+, AQs, KQs, Q2s+, 76s, AQo, KQo }

      Looks like I made the correct play. Should I cbet against such a guy or not? I think my A high here is good can I value bet it even OOP?
  • 2 replies