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[NL2-NL10] NL4; SH: AJo squeeze

    • Avatars91
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      IPoker, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $5.64 (141 bb)
      BB: $5.26 (131.5 bb)
      UTG: $5 (125 bb)
      MP: $2.96 (74 bb)
      CO: $7.36 (184 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $4 (100 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with A J
      UTG folds, MP raises to $0.12, CO calls $0.12, Hero raises to $0.48, 3 folds, CO calls $0.36

      Flop: ($1.14) 5 2 6 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $0.57, CO calls $0.57

      Turn: ($2.28) 9 (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      River: ($2.28) T (2 players)
      CO bets $6.31, Hero folds

      Results: $2.28 pot ($0.15 rake)
      Final Board: 5 2 6 9 T
      CO mucked and won $2.13 ($1.08 net)
      Hero mucked A J and lost (-$1.05 net)

      The initial raiser is relatively unknown, but not too big a fish, the cold caller is a massive fish with the following stats:
      VP/PFR/AF/3bt/WTSD/hands 95/59/1.2/62.5/43/22

      The BB is also fishy.

      Does the squeeze makes sense? I did not want to play a multiway pot, especially because the BB is also likely to call. The cold caller is a huge fish that can easily call with worse, but the problem is the initial raiser.

      On the flop, does it make any sense to cbet against the fish? Is he too big of a calling station postflop? Maybe we can get thin value?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Actually I don't mind even your play here. The squeeze should be pretty profitable especially against such an opponent. Which also tells us that we can even CB the flop most likely even for value vs his VPIP.

      Best Regards.