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[NL2-NL10] NL4; SH: JTs, turn flushdraw+gutshot

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      IPoker, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      Hero (SB): $4 (100 bb)
      BB: $0.15 (3.8 bb)
      UTG: $4.38 (109.5 bb)
      MP: $6.51 (162.8 bb)
      CO: $0.68 (17 bb)
      BTN: $2.02 (50.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is SB with T J
      2 folds, CO calls $0.04, BTN calls $0.04, Hero completes, BB checks

      Flop: ($0.16) A Q 8 (4 players)
      Hero checks, BB checks, CO checks, BTN checks

      Turn: ($0.16) 4 (4 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $0.11 and is all-in, CO calls $0.11, BTN folds, Hero calls $0.11

      River: ($0.49) 7 (3 players, 1 is all-in)
      Hero checks, CO checks

      Results: $0.49 pot ($0.03 rake)
      Final Board: A Q 8 4 7
      Hero mucked T J and lost (-$0.15 net)
      BB showed 2 J and lost (-$0.15 net)
      CO showed A 6 and won $0.46 ($0.31 net)

      The player who shoved seemed fishy (his stack size suggests that as well), the turn caller seemed fishy as well.

      There is $0.38 in the pot and we must call $0.11, thus we are getting 3.45:1 odds if I'm not mistaken. We have 12 clean outs which equals to a 2.8:1 chance to hit one of our outs ((46-12):12):1. Thus we can call.

      Is my maths correct?

      One additional question: if we had just the flushdraw on the turn, we would have a 4.1:1 chance to hit our flush on the turn. The pot should be $0.45 in order for us to call profitably. Can we call in this spot with just the FD, assuming that we can make our opponent pay at least 0.07$ on the river often enough? The opponent seems fishy.
  • 5 replies