[NL2-NL10] NL5 sh trips

    • qnb07
      Joined: 26.08.2007 Posts: 637
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 1559332
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      CO: $4.87 - VPIP: 49, PFR: 19, 3B: 10, AF: 27.0, Hands: 68
      Hero (BTN): $5.32
      SB: $5.99 - VPIP: 27, PFR: 22, 3B: 7, AF: 3.0, Hands: 37
      BB: $8.63 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 7, 3B: 8, AF: 3.0, Hands: 29
      UTG: $5.00 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0.5, Hands: 42

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BTN with 6 :club: 8 :club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: ($0.32) 8 :heart: 8 :spade: T :heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.25, BB calls $0.25

      Turn: ($0.82) 9 :club: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.63, BB raises to $1.35, Hero calls $0.72

      River: ($3.52) 3 :diamond: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.95, Hero folds

      not sure about my play now.
      just ship turn and be done with it?
      ch/minr just seems so fishy. no idea what to do. just call down?
  • 1 reply
    • luizsilveira
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Hi, qnb07!

      I think reraising turn would be a big overplay. Yes, there could be draws in his range but draws *should* (not meaning they would) give up easily on that board since a full house is not unlikely. So I think by raising turn, even though you protect your hand, you end up isolating yourself vs. the top of his range and fold his weak hands and bluffs.

      We can't really get a grasp on this guy with 29 hands only - and that is why in this case I would call down. I think I'd certainly call any non 7, J or Q on the river; and would think about calling even with a 3rd heart if he bets so small (unless the heart is the 6 of course).

      I think it might be close and we'll lose some times but I expect us to be ahead some times as well. We need to be ahead roughly 26% to be break even on this call so it's not much!

      On top of that, even it's breakeven we have the advantage of getting information early on and getting how this guy plays. But attention: we don't call to know what he's playing with. We call because we will be ahead often enough to make the call profitable since he made it so cheap and can be betting thin even with a hand like T9 which we beat.