[NL2-NL10] AQs

    • Nocco88
      Nocco88
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.03.2010 Posts: 805
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.24)
      BB ($3.50)
      Hero ($10.30)
      BTN ($10.72)

      Dealt to Hero Q:spade: A:spade:

      Hero raises to $0.30, BTN raises to $0.80, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.50

      FLOP ($1.75) 6:spade: 8:spade: 9:diamond:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      TURN ($1.75) 6:spade: 8:spade: 9:diamond: K:spade:

      Hero bets $1, BTN calls $1

      RIVER ($3.75) 6:spade: 8:spade: 9:diamond: K:spade: 6:heart:

      Hero bets $2, BTN raises to $8.92 (AI), Hero calls $6.50 (AI)

      Villain's stats: VPIP:32 PFR:26 AF:1.5 H:54

      I had the nut flush, but the river bothered me, but i didn't want to fold the nut flush. It was good or think about folding?
  • 4 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Nocco88,

      Preflop: Well, why do you Call here in first place? Of course he ain't raising like very big but did he really have a huge 3bet? Your hand may easily be dominated and even if you hit you will rarely know how good you are with your hand.

      As played
      Postflop: What about his CB? Most likely if he has a high CB then it's gonna be a trap with some PPs like this and you can easily Bet/Fold the river there. :) But if not and you also expect him to have weaker flushes in the range then playing for the stacks is an option. But now again I expect him to CB with FD very often here, so I'd still be inclined to think of a trap here and might even make the crying Bet/Fold.

      Best Regards.
    • Nocco88
      Nocco88
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.03.2010 Posts: 805
      His CB was 43%. So he could scared from the draw heavy board, and miss the cbet here. And also he is not too agressive, so i think that he could check here with his weaker flush draw.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Well, I guess I'd still be towards folding the hand since there ain't gonna be many hands what we beat since we already block the Qhigh flush and of course the Ahigh flush. And while it's also 3bet pot for us I don't see him 3betting with a lot worse SCs which are for the low flush here since they are also blocked on the flop:

      Board: 6:spade: 8:spade: 9:diamond:  K:spade:  6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    16.67%  16.67%   0.00% { AsQs }
      UTG+1  83.33%  83.33%   0.00% { KK, 99-88, 66, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Ts9s }

      Doubt that we gonna see any straights either here. We really need to know here that he can overplay any kind of TP/overpair for make it profitable.
    • Nocco88
      Nocco88
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.03.2010 Posts: 805
      Okay, thank you. :)