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[NL2-NL10] KQo 14.12 -4BI

    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      Pacific Poker - $0.20 NL - Holdem - 7 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      Zurrunbilo (SB): $23.40
      BGawli (BB): $19.82
      Winnerti (UTG): $25.78
      BattleDoom (UTG+1): $24.02
      Nick_Riviera (MP): $9.00
      ladygagga (CO): $25.61
      deeping999 (BTN): $19.90

      Zurrunbilo posts SB $0.10, BGawli posts BB $0.20

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) BGawli has Q:spade: K:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Zurrunbilo raises to $0.60, BGawli calls $0.40

      Flop: ($1.20, 2 players) Q:diamond: T:spade: K:spade:
      Zurrunbilo bets $1.20, BGawli raises to $5.50, Zurrunbilo raises to $22.80, BGawli calls $13.72

      Turn: ($39.64, 2 players) J:club:

      River: ($39.64, 2 players) T:diamond:



      Opp as you can see is good player. He is reg on NL20.
      About call preflop I don't have any doubts. About rr on the flop too but I'm wondering about call his ship
      equity need to call: 34%

      let's give him only nuts:
      Board: Qd Ts Ks
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 21.314% 20.50% 00.81% 7509 298.50 { KhQs }
      Hand 1: 78.686% 77.87% 00.81% 28524 298.50 { KK-QQ, TT, AJs, J9s, AJo, J9o }

      I add to his range combination of 2Ps like KQ, KT and QT:
      Board: Qd Ts Ks
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 39.141% 34.58% 04.56% 18146 2391.50 { KhQs }
      Hand 1: 60.859% 56.30% 04.56% 29541 2391.50 { KK-QQ, TT, AsQs, AJs, KQs, KTs, QTs, J9s, AJo, KQo, KTo, QTo, J9o }

      But I'm not sure if this player is able to play for stacks with Bottom Pairs and any combinations of 2P's, hard to say, I don't have any notes. Against weak player it would be no brainer decision but against reg?
  • 6 replies
    • Echoes88
      Echoes88
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.09.2008 Posts: 1,665
      Hello!

      I might consider 3beting him pre, he folds a lot. I guess hes the kinda player who only will go broe with the nuts.
    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      nono... I didn't want to 3B preflop because I was ahead against his stealing range so I had action. 3B probably finished action.
    • Echoes88
      Echoes88
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.09.2008 Posts: 1,665
      I understand you point totally, and its good, i say its an option as well.

      As played, his broke range going to be extremely strong.
    • w4terman
      w4terman
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.04.2011 Posts: 757
      he could have many hands here and some monster draws too !

      my guess is that you are behind here

      what he had ?:D
    • UnknownJoseph
      UnknownJoseph
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.04.2010 Posts: 5,748
      J9o
      it was first time when I had hand like this and my call was because I didn't know what to do. I didn't know correct equity to hand like this so I'm waiting for evaluation and I will have to add new line to my A-game
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello BGawli,

      Pay attention that if you have access here then would be also good to point out here his SB Steal % which sometimes for some opponents may vary and might be a lot smaller than 30%.

      But about the hand I doubt that we can get away while the opponent may easily have himself any kind of worse 2pairs/AA/AK maybe even and of course TP+draw or whatsoever hands:

      Board: T:spade: K:spade: Q:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    52.34%  48.81%   3.53% { QQ+, TT, AKs, AJs, KTs+, QTs+, J9s, AJo, KTo+, QTo, J9o, AdKs, AdKc, AhKs, AsKd, AsKh, AcKd }
      UTG+1  47.66%  44.13%   3.53% { KhQs }

      I am playing for the stacks. We could of course remove the AK/AA hands ->

      Board: T:spade: K:spade: Q:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    55.69%  51.64%   4.05% { KK-QQ, TT, AJs, KTs+, QTs+, J9s, AJo, KTo+, QTo, J9o }
      UTG+1  44.31%  40.27%   4.05% { KhQs }

      But even now we are getting the odds.

      Best Regards.