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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AKs stack off on flop 130 bb

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.14)
      Hero ($39.27)
      UTG ($10)
      CO ($12.97)
      BTN ($10.49)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: A:club:

      fold, CO calls $0.10, fold, SB calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.50, CO calls $0.40, SB calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.50) 7:diamond: A:diamond: 4:diamond:

      SB checks, Hero bets $1.25, CO raises to $12.47 (AI), SB folds, Hero calls $11.22

      TURN ($26.44) 7:diamond: A:diamond: 4:diamond: 7:heart:

      RIVER ($26.44) 7:diamond: A:diamond: 4:diamond: 7:heart: T:heart:

      47/17/7.2, fold to cbet 63, 258 hands

      Calls squeze preflop with TT, then stack off on flop with 2nd pair + FD.
      Opens from MP with JJ, I squeeze, he stacks off 120 bb.

      Agianst him I cannot fold on flop I guess? He could again do this with 2nd paid and flushdraw.
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      Nah, I am not a huge fan of calling here, he may easily have sets/2pairs/flushes and obviously against any pair+FD we aren't even doing very good. I am folding this one. For example:

      Board: 7:diamond: A:diamond: 4:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    39.53%  37.35%   2.17% { AcKc }
      UTG+1  60.47%  58.30%   2.17% { 77, 44, AQs-ATs, A7s, A4s, KdJd, JdTd, 9d8d, AQo, A7o, A4o, AcJd, AhTd, Ah9d }

      And this even a good range. :P We haven't invested much into the pot anyways. We would need here ~43% at least to make it even break-even.

      Best Regards.