[NL2-NL10] NL2 - FR - 55 - bottom set vs shove

    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 563
      PartyGaming - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 9 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      BB: $1.80
      UTG: $2.21
      UTG+1: $2.79
      MP: $1.96
      Hero (MP+1): $2.21
      LP: $0.58
      CO: $2.00
      BTN: $1.47
      SB: $1.88

      SB posts SB $0.01, BB posts BB $0.02

      Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero has 5:spade: 5:diamond:

      UTG calls $0.02, UTG+1 calls $0.02, fold, Hero calls $0.02, fold, CO calls $0.02, fold, SB calls $0.01, BB checks

      Flop: ($0.12, 6 players) 5:heart: K:club: 7:spade:
      SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.08, CO calls $0.08, SB calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold

      Turn: ($0.36, 3 players) 6:spade:
      SB checks, Hero bets $0.26, fold, SB raises to $1.78 and is all-in, Hero ???

      Hello,

      What should I put him on with his shove here? It's a limped pot. Bluffs? Straight? Flushdraw? He's unknown. Should I fold here? I called here, because I think he's just bluffing. And I think I have the equity to call here. Bad call?

      Board: 5:heart: K:club: 7:spade:  6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    49.66%  49.66%   0.00% { 5d5s }
      SB     50.34%  50.34%   0.00% { 77, 55, 98s, 76s, 65s, KsQs, KsJs, 98o, 76o, 65o }

      Is his range ok? Should I put 43 into his range?

      Thanks,
      cpers
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cpers,

      Well, first of all if he has a made hand like 2pairs then he ain't bluffing. :P But against his shoving range and while it's a freeplay pot it's really close spot:

      Board: 5:heart: K:club: 7:spade:  6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    61.36%  61.36%   0.00% { 77-66, 98s, 76s, 65s, 43s, KsQs, KsJs, 98o, 76o, 65o, 43o }
      UTG+1  38.64%  38.64%   0.00% { 5d5s }

      Most likely I'd be towards folding the hand and letting him have it. Better sets possible and made straights and we can't even be sure that he is overplaying 2pairs, not that many 2pairs either around.

      Best Regards.