[NL2-NL10] flush draw

    • wnbMG
      wnbMG
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 586
      vs. 53/35/50%fold to 3bet/AF:3.7
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($20)
      BB ($7.70)
      UTG ($39.75)
      CO ($58.79)
      Hero ($20.20)

      Dealt to Hero A:spade: 6:spade:

      fold, CO raises to $0.60, Hero raises to $1.80, fold, fold, CO calls $1.20

      FLOP ($3.90) 7:diamond: 9:spade: 7:spade:

      CO checks, Hero bets $2.75, CO raises to $5.50, Hero raises to $18.40 (AI), CO calls $12.90

      TURN ($40.70) 7:diamond: 9:spade: 7:spade: Q:spade:

      RIVER ($40.70) 7:diamond: 9:spade: 7:spade: Q:spade: 3:club:

      CO shows 7:heart: 9:heart:
      (Pre 44%, Flop 99.5%, Turn 100.0%)

      Hero shows A:spade: 6:spade:
      (Pre 56%, Flop 0.5%, Turn 0.0%)

      CO wins $38.67
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello wnbMG,

      Preflop: Against such a loose opponent I'd rather just flat and play postflop against him with the position.

      As played
      Postflop: Don't like the 3bet here, you may easily even isolate yourself against strong hands. Rather just Call and reevaluate it on the turn. He is giving perfect odds, why not to use it? You wont make any better hands to fold anyways.

      Best Regards.
    • wnbMG
      wnbMG
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.04.2011 Posts: 586
      he can have of course worse draws.. even if he has overpair I'm almost coinflip against his range ;)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by wnbMG
      he can have of course worse draws.. even if he has overpair I'm almost coinflip against his range ;)
      We would need ~39% equity here, my assumptions would be something like that:

      Board: 7:diamond: 9:spade: 7:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    66.35%  66.29%   0.06% { 99+, 77, A9s, A7s, K9s, K7s, Q9s, Q7s, J9s, J7s, T9s, T7s, 97s+, 87s, A7o, 87o }
      UTG+1  33.65%  33.59%   0.06% { As6s }

      Against which we don't get that great equity. Which means I am still taking the odds which he gives me in 3bet pot.