[NL20-NL50] NL25SH JK TPGK fold flop

    • Alan883
      Alan883
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2008 Posts: 1,941
      Hello as villian steals a lot my hand is good enaugh to 3bet and villian called. I made then standar 3bet and surprisingly got raised.

      Is he willing to raise me with worse?

      But anything i do is a though decision. If i push i am overplaing that hand. If i call i have to check turn and as he is agressive he will probably bet also with draws so i have to fold again mine better hand.


      so is folding direct on flop correct decision?



      Villian IS: 25/20/4.2 after 600 hands
      steal 43%
      fold to reSteal = 71%

      Thanks!!!

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      BB (Hero):
      $28.95
      MP2:
      $9.72
      MP3:
      $47.91
      CO:
      $16.46
      BU:
      $37.77
      SB:
      $35.33


      Preflop: Hero is BB with K, J.
      3 folds, BU raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero raises to $2.25, BU calls $1.50.

      Flop: ($4.6) 8, 4, K (2 players)
      Hero bets $2.75, BU raises to $6.25, Hero folds, BU gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $7.35.
  • 4 replies
    • Mauzer77
      Mauzer77
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.03.2008 Posts: 1,926
      Hi!

      I would 3bet to 10bb preflop.

      Postflop I am not folding, I dont think he will have AK, neither 44. He might have 88 and KQ, but not sure if he raises them (I would say not). He isnt raising too big, I think he can have a lot of bluffs.

      "If i call i have to check turn and as he is agressive he will probably bet also with draws so i have to fold again mine better hand"

      Why is it bad if he keeps bluffing?

      I would c/r allin most of the turns.
    • Alan883
      Alan883
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.12.2008 Posts: 1,941
      Thank you for your reply.

      Well i really told to myself that i fold this time and i take notes for the next one so i will play a bit differently.

      Equilab puts me ahead but i think that his reraise has a bit tighter range that i provided.



      Board: 8:diamond: 4:diamond: K:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      BU     69.44%  66.82%   2.63% { KdJc }
      SB     30.56%  27.93%   2.63% { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
    • DeLau
      DeLau
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.01.2009 Posts: 1,606
      You can narrow that range down a lot!

      I like Cukk's analysis. Definitely 3bet bigger oop, you like to see people fold when you're oop.

      Also K :diamond: is nice card, removes out if he has FD and you might redraw if he gets there on turn.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I think he would not really raise there KT and then got all-in, so basically he is either bluffing, raising his draws or sometimes sets.
      I would not fold KJ that spot and would get all-in any turn card, but to let him barrel his air I would prefer b/c flop and then c/rai turn

      best regards,