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[NL2-NL10] NL10 SH AQ twp pair vs allin on flop

    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($7.04)
      BB ($8.25)
      UTG ($13.77)
      Hero ($10.86)
      CO ($12.27)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: A:spade:

      UTG calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, CO calls $0.50, BTN calls $0.50, fold, BB calls $0.40, UTG calls $0.40

      FLOP ($2.55) A:diamond: Q:diamond: 2:diamond:

      BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $2.05, CO raises to $11.77 (AI), BTN folds, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $8.31 (AI)

      TURN ($23.27) A:diamond: Q:diamond: 2:diamond: 4:heart:

      RIVER ($23.27) A:diamond: Q:diamond: 2:diamond: 4:heart: J:diamond:

      47/5/1,7 397 hands

      such pasive rasies, and in multiway pot, probably its sets or flushes. Maybe A2.

      For exaple agaisnt this range

      AA,QQ,22,AQs,A2s,Jd9d,8d7d,4d3d,AQo

      I do bad:

      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 35.76% 20.26% 15.49% AsQh
      MP3 64.24% 48.75% 15.49% AA, QQ, 22, AQs, A2s, Jd9d, 8d7d, 4d3d, AQo

      I need 40% equity. The problem is that at the game I think - how can I fold this. I remember making laydowns with good hands which were actually bad as I figured out when discusing. So don't want to miss value. And also - I am doing good if he has AK, or even AJ - then I crush him. With AJ this player would probably want to stackoff for protection.
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello SPeedFANat1c,

      Well, just think of being in such a huge multiway pot. :) I'd really rather just Bet/Fold it here, so many flushes possible and it's even very likely. You at the best might face something like pair+FD or A2. But even against any pair+FD our equity ain't very good.

      Best Regards.
    • SPeedFANat1c
      SPeedFANat1c
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 5,150
      I see. The problem is I have such hand in 5way pot so rarely that I really don't know what to do on flop :)
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c
      I see. The problem is I have such hand in 5way pot so rarely that I really don't know what to do on flop :)
      Well, just try to even the opponent just one pair+FD, you will see that the guy already gets somewhat great odds. :D Not to talk if we add also made flushes.