[NL2-NL10] 66 so..

    • Shady9966
      Shady9966
      Global
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($16.94)
      BB ($13.29)
      Hero ($10.35)
      CO ($4.33)
      BTN ($13.64)

      Dealt to Hero 6:club: 6:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BTN raises to $1.05, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.75

      FLOP ($2.25) A:spade: 9:spade: 6:heart:

      Hero checks, BTN checks

      TURN ($2.25) A:spade: 9:spade: 6:heart: 8:spade:

      Hero bets $1.07, BTN raises to $2.50, Hero raises to $4, BTN raises to $12.59 (AI), Hero calls $5.30 (AI)

      RIVER ($20.85) A:spade: 9:spade: 6:heart: 8:spade: K:heart:

      BTN shows T:spade: Q:spade:
      (Pre 50%, Flop 27.4%, Turn 77.3%)

      Hero shows 6:club: 6:diamond:
      (Pre 50%, Flop 72.6%, Turn 22.7%)

      BTN wins $19.82

      this is a nit ... 12/10 3bet 2.7 af 3.2 hands 209

      so i expect him to have JJ+ AT+ and that's it
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      Well, after the guy even Checks the flop I would already start to be suspicious, what kind of hand is Checking behind on the flop and even raising the turn? Most likely it's gonna be towards AA/99 or maybe even a flush. Therefore I would continue really cautiously and maybe even just Call the turn and reevaluate it on the river than play directly for the stacks. Or do you expect him ever to play this way with AK? And even if you do:

      Board: A:spade: 9:spade: 6:heart:  8:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    15.66%  15.66%   0.00% { 6d6c }
      UTG+1  84.34%  84.34%   0.00% { AA, 99, KsQs, QsJs, AhKs }

      Our equity against made hands ain't gonna be really good either. Or what kind of hands do you expect to see from his side?

      Plus of course you made a mistake by betting the turn so small, ~$1,80 at least would be my Bet. Which sometimes may even induce him to raise you.

      Best Regards.
    • Shady9966
      Shady9966
      Global
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      well his a nit you can't expect him to 3bet 99 and QJs .KQs ( can't be in his 3bet range those hands ) here at least i don't thinked that his range can have manny flush draw only the AKs

      so i was going agains JJ+ and AK, i was thinking that he got scared of the A and when i checked he was sure i don't have one
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Shady9966
      well his a nit you can't expect him to 3bet 99 and QJs .KQs ( can't be in his 3bet range those hands ) here at least i don't thinked that his range can have manny flush draw only the AKs

      so i was going agains JJ+ and AK, i was thinking that he got scared of the A and when i checked he was sure i don't have one
      Well, of course you can't but you will be surprised what you will see sometimes they are doing. Especially if you are aggressive on the tables and were raising a lot of hands.

      And JJ+, why should he raise the turn? AK -> most likely would have protect his hand already on the flop more likely. Unless he has trap tendency or has a small CB.