[NL20-NL50] [NL25SH] KQo

    • RandomGenerator
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 4,337
      villain plays 21/18. opens about 30% from CO.

      cbet 67%, pretty aggressive, has about 40-45 aggr freq on all streets.

      Now, after the hand putting it all into equilab I see that bet on flop is profitable, since about 40% of time he has nothing or third pocket pair that he will have to fold.

      The question is the following. Since he didn't bet the flop, he rarely has a flush draw in his range. On the other hand, neither do I, since I checked behind. So his line looks very very much like a bluff. So do you think I should call the river?

      Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BB: $25 (100 bb)
      MP: $12.79 (51.2 bb)
      CO: $25 (100 bb)
      Hero (BTN): $26.40 (105.6 bb)
      SB: $30.14 (120.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q K
      MP folds, CO raises to $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, 2 folds

      Flop: ($1.85) 3 A K (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($1.85) 5 (2 players)
      CO bets $1.14, Hero calls $1.14

      River: ($4.13) 8 (2 players)
      CO bets $2.75, Hero folds

      Results: $4.13 pot ($0.20 rake)
      Final Board: 3 A K 5 8
      CO mucked and won $3.93 ($2.04 net)
      Hero mucked Q K and lost (-$1.89 net)
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      Players would generally not bluff that spot, so I think folding river is fine especially since you also can´t rep much (you should have bet Qc on the flop).

      I would also prefer betting flop and then either taking my free card or betting turn again for value and then taking my free showdown.

      Best regards,