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[NL20-NL50] nl50 KK sick fold?

    • Mauzer77
      Mauzer77
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.03.2008 Posts: 1,927
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($25.85)
      BB ($50.50)
      UTG ($60.75)
      UTG+1 ($50.10)
      CO ($60.10)
      Hero ($66.20)

      Dealt to Hero K:heart: K:diamond:

      UTG raises to $1.50, fold, fold, Hero calls $1.50, fold, BB calls $1

      FLOP ($4.75) 4:diamond: 7:heart: 9:club:

      BB checks, UTG bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, BB calls $3.50

      TURN ($15.25) 4:diamond: 7:heart: 9:club: 4:spade:

      BB checks, UTG bets $11.50, Hero folds, BB folds

      UTG wins $14.50



      Hi!

      UTG 10/8 after 50 hands, BB seems to be a regfish after few hands

      I think after 3bet he would fold all his weak hands and continue with AA only, so I prefer calling. ( if he has same stats after 500 hands) Do you agree? I wanted to involve BB in pot because he was fishy, made something stupid before.

      His range here is: 44-77-99-TT-JJ-QQ-KK-AA (a 18/16 reg has the same range here)

      Against this range I got 57%, without TT 48%, without TT-JJ 34%

      According to his betsize, which was 78% of the pot (this pot includes rake) I think he can easily have the top of this range.

      Adding the fact that BB could also have here full/poker, can this fold be good?

      If call then call on any river<9? He will shove 33.5 to 38, potodds 31%.

      Probably I played this hand bad...

      Ty
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      Since his range has still TT-QQ I would prefer calling again on the turn. I think he would check river often with worse overpairs and BB would very likely c/r flop his set, so I think you´re ahead enough times to call again on the turn.

      Not really sure he would AK, QQ, JJ to your 3-bet so personally I´d 3-bet there KK for value. If he 4-bets you can consider always folding then , but KK is way too strong to just call for set value.

      Best regards,