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[NL2-NL10] NL10- SH - JQ IP TP facing river shove

    • frako17
      Joined: 21.10.2010 Posts: 67
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($13.88)
      BB ($10.25)
      UTG ($10.70)
      UTG+1 ($2.46)
      CO ($14.55) Vpip 49, Pfr 1, Hands 210
      Hero ($9.96)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: J:spade:

      fold, fold, CO calls $0.10, Hero raises to $0.45, fold, fold, CO calls $0.35

      FLOP ($1.05) 4:diamond: 6:spade: Q:club:

      CO checks, Hero bets $0.75, CO calls $0.75

      TURN ($2.55) 4:diamond: 6:spade: Q:club: 3:club:

      CO checks, Hero bets $2, CO calls $2

      RIVER ($6.55) 4:diamond: 6:spade: Q:club: 3:club: 5:diamond:

      CO bets $11.35 (AI), Hero calls $6.76 (AI)

      CO shows 7:heart: 7:spade:
      (Pre 52%, Flop 12.0%, Turn 13.6%)

      Hero shows Q:diamond: J:spade:
      (Pre 48%, Flop 88.0%, Turn 86.4%)

      CO wins $18.75

      Against his range equilab says that we are way ahead on river.

      Board: 4:diamond: 6:spade: Q:club:  3:club:  5:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     23.13%  22.41%   0.72% { JJ-44, A2s+, K2s+, Q4s+, J6s+, T7s+, 97s+, 87s, A3o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+ }
      BU     76.87%  76.14%   0.72% { QdJs }

      In reality is +EV to call a river shove from that kind of opponents????
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