[NL2-NL10] QQ nit

    • Shady9966
      Shady9966
      Global
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($9.44)
      BB ($12.12)
      Hero ($15.55)
      UTG+1 ($8.34)
      CO ($3.97)
      BTN ($29.98)

      Dealt to Hero Q:heart: Q:diamond:

      Hero raises to $0.40, UTG+1 calls $0.40, fold, fold, fold, BB raises to $1.50, Hero calls $1.10, UTG+1 calls $1.10

      FLOP ($4.55) J:club: T:diamond: 4:club:

      BB bets $2.70, Hero calls $2.70, UTG+1 calls $2.70

      TURN ($12.65) J:club: T:diamond: 4:club: K:diamond:

      BB bets $7.92 (AI), Hero folds, UTG+1 calls $4.14 (AI)

      RIVER ($20.93) J:club: T:diamond: 4:club: K:diamond: 7:spade:

      BB shows T:heart: T:club:
      (Pre 81%, Flop 74.1%, Turn 70.5%)

      UTG+1 shows 8:diamond: 9:diamond:
      (Pre 19%, Flop 25.9%, Turn 29.5%)

      UTG+1 wins $19.92

      BU 12/10 3bet 3 hands 99
      MP 32/12 hands 44

      i do have enough odds to call for set minning if i asume that the MP will call , and i also can play postflop with overpair sometimes.?
  • 3 replies
    • luizsilveira
      luizsilveira
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Hi, Shady9966.

      That's indeed a tough one. You do not have the odds to setmine, no, as you need to call 10% of your stack.

      What will happen is you'll not setmine (like you did on the flop) and will often be caught between a rock and a hard place: between the BB with a very strong range and the passive player with position on you. I can't see that as profitable.

      Considering the UTG+1's dead money I'd be more inclined to just 4bet here. Calling is the option I like the least as we'll often win a medium pot or lose a big one. Well, at least we'll have position on the nit.

      I'll ask Veriz for a second opinion. I myself would either 4bet or fold pre.
    • YxieAA
      YxieAA
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.05.2011 Posts: 1,064
      Hi Shady9966,

      I'm evaluating your hand as pokerschool homework.

      Preflop: i think your call is fine

      Post flop: i think you should fold here. Can't see to many good cards comming on the turn. Even if you hit your set opponent might have completed straight or flushdraw.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      We have to actually fold it preflop since we are getting ~12:1 odds which isn't that good for 3bet while we don't even know the opponent. Especially if you are calling on the flop where you don't beat much and still continue and level yourself to Call you should consider folding it preflop. As played we should definitely fold it on the flop, what do you beat there?

      Best Regards.