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[NL2-NL10] Ak Tptk

    • Shady9966
      Shady9966
      Global
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($16.20)
      BB ($12.72)
      UTG ($5.87)
      UTG+1 ($7.10)
      CO ($11.62)
      BTN ($5.50)

      Dealt to Hero K:spade: A:club:

      fold, fold, fold, BTN raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, BTN calls $0.90

      FLOP ($2.50) A:heart: T:spade: J:heart:

      Hero bets $2, BTN raises to $4.30 (AI), Hero calls $2.30

      TURN ($11.10) A:heart: T:spade: J:heart: 2:club:

      RIVER ($11.10) A:heart: T:spade: J:heart: 2:club: 5:diamond:

      BTN shows K:heart: Q:diamond:
      (Pre 26%, Flop 91.5%, Turn 96.6%)

      Hero shows K:spade: A:club:
      (Pre 74%, Flop 8.5%, Turn 3.4%)

      BTN wins $10.56

      25/20 f3bet 25

      can i ever fold againt his stack here?
  • 4 replies
    • luizsilveira
      luizsilveira
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Hi, Shady9966!

      Damn, why do you keep bringing tough spots? :D

      I think after you 3bet and cbet so big there is no fold anymore. I have doubts about the cbet size though.

      It's an interesting flop; it hits our 3bet range so villain won't bluff all that much - and it smashes a good part of his likely calling range.

      Interestingly we still have decent equity, even if he has no bluffs.


      Board: A:heart: J:heart: T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    56.67%  47.24%   9.43% { JJ-99, ATs+, KQs, AKo, AJo-ATo }
      MP3    43.33%  33.90%   9.43% { AKo }


      To be 100% honest I don't even know where does that equity come from (I put 99 there as just one minimal part of bluff range, but I even doubt there is any). If we just changed that we're quite smashed:


      Board: A:heart: J:heart: T:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    66.01%  54.76%  11.26% { JJ-TT, ATs+, KQs, AKo, AJo-ATo }
      MP3    33.99%  22.73%  11.26% { AKo }


      Anyway, vs. his stack size I think it's a tough but clear call. vs. a full stack I'd probably cry and call for mamma.

      That's my eval., I'll ask Veriz a second one (if he's not fed up of myself always doing that :tongue: )
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      I don't really see how we can get away for the given odds. :D Whatever he has I am not folding here. His stack already says that he is rather a bad player and Calling against 2nd thing which makes him a bad player. I am playing for the stacks.

      Best Regards.
    • luizsilveira
      luizsilveira
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.11.2010 Posts: 2,320
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello Shady9966,

      I don't really see how we can get away for the given odds. :D Whatever he has I am not folding here. His stack already says that he is rather a bad player and Calling against 2nd thing which makes him a bad player. I am playing for the stacks.

      Best Regards.
      Ahm... and if he had a full stack? :D
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by luizsilveira
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello Shady9966,

      I don't really see how we can get away for the given odds. :D Whatever he has I am not folding here. His stack already says that he is rather a bad player and Calling against 2nd thing which makes him a bad player. I am playing for the stacks.

      Best Regards.
      Ahm... and if he had a full stack? :D
      Snap-Fold since we don't beat much which is calling a 3bet and raising us on the flop. Only at the best maybe AQ.