[NL2-NL10] Can I go for thin value?

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2:
      $6.65
      MP3:
      $4.66
      CO:
      $4.80
      BU:
      $5.00
      SB (Hero):
      $5.57
      BB:
      $5.54
      UTG1:
      $2.00
      UTG2:
      $5.00
      MP1:
      $6.29


      Preflop: Hero is SB with T, T.
      3 folds, MP2 calls $0.05, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, BB folds, MP2 calls $0.20.

      Flop: ($0.55) T, 6, 9 (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.45, MP2 calls $0.45.

      Turn: ($1.45) 8 (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.00, MP2 calls $1.00.

      River: ($3.45) A (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.37, MP2 calls $1.37.

      Final Pot: $6.19.
      Results follow:


      Hero shows three of a kind, tens(T T).MP2 shows three of a kind, sixes(6 6).Hero wins with three of a kind, tens(T T).


      MP2 stats: 15/7/limp MP 5%/1.7/FtoCbet 73%(11)/WTSD 28%(39)/W$SD 18%(11)
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Most of the draws got there, for that given reason I am not a huge fan of Betting the river anymore. Only reason is to Bet there to avoid him bluffing. But now again with what would he bluff here? 2pairs? Doubt that. Most likely I'd give it up on the river.

      Best Regards.
    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello Sikac,

      Most of the draws got there, for that given reason I am not a huge fan of Betting the river anymore. Only reason is to Bet there to avoid him bluffing. But now again with what would he bluff here? 2pairs? Doubt that. Most likely I'd give it up on the river.

      Best Regards.
      So you dont think I can extract value also from sets. As this guy limped from MP2 it mostly represents a smaller pocket pair when I take a look at his stats. He does more often raise from that position then limp so I was comfortable that he could have set and shoud I still bet the turn?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      So you dont think I can extract value also from sets. As this guy limped from MP2 it mostly represents a smaller pocket pair when I take a look at his stats. He does more often raise from that position then limp so I was comfortable that he could have set and shoud I still bet the turn?

      That's the only hand you may get value. :) And even that kind of hand the opponent has to be really dumb to ever pay you with them. And yes, of course we are betting the turn for protection and free showdown.