[NL2-NL10] NL4, SH: 99 against shortstack minraise

    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      IPoker, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      MP: $1.63 (40.8 bb)
      CO: $1.52 (38 bb)
      BTN: $2.32 (58 bb)
      SB: $5.49 (137.3 bb)
      Hero (BB): $4 (100 bb)
      UTG: $5.06 (126.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 9 9
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.08, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.04

      Flop: ($0.18) 4 9 8 (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.09, Hero raises to $0.44, CO folds

      Results: $0.36 pot ($0.02 rake)
      Final Board: 4 9 8
      CO mucked and lost (-$0.17 net)
      Hero mucked 9 9 and won $0.34 ($0.17 net)

      Our opponent's stats:
      VP/PFR/AF/StealfromCO/Cbetflop/WTSD/hands 31/12/11.5/20/80/28/71

      We have the odds to call, I didn't want to 3bet and go broke without additional information, though.

      On the flop: is a check/raise good? Or should we donk in order to prevent a check behind on this drawheavy flop? The sample size is too small to correctly assess his Cbet tendencies and he might not cbet on a board like this.
  • 8 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Avatars91,

      Nah, it's totally standard and I wouldn't pick any other line. Nice hand!

      Best Regards.
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Are you not fearing a check behind on this flop?
      Then again, most opponents would Cbet a draw, I guess.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Avatars91
      Are you not fearing a check behind on this flop?
      Then again, most opponents would Cbet a draw, I guess.
      He has pretty high CB so I expect him to Cb very often here.
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Is the small sample size not an issue in this case?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Originally posted by Avatars91
      Is the small sample size not an issue in this case?
      If you are asking this question then I am asking you, why should it be so important? :) Why do you expect him to Check behind? Do you have any reads?
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      I do not have any reads. All I have is the statistics from a small sample size, which might not be credible enough to make the assumption that he always cbets this board. All the previous times he has done it the conditions that caused him to cbet might have been different (dry boards before this one, for example). The point is – I'm not sure he really cbets this particular board and in this particular situation always. He might even do it next to never.

      Although following the trends even from this sample size I guess he would never check behind a draw, i. e. he would never miss out on an opportunity to semibluff since he already might have a high Cbet frequency.

      Would you regard donking on this flop as a significantly inferior line?
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      It's not a huge mistake, you can as well donk if you expect him rather to Check behind very often. :)
    • Avatars91
      Avatars91
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.12.2009 Posts: 2,689
      Thanks!