[NL2-NL10] Range and maths hand

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.05 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Known players:
      UTG2:
      $4.93
      MP1:
      $5.85
      MP2:
      $5.00
      MP3:
      $13.27
      CO:
      $3.71
      BU (Hero):
      $5.21
      SB:
      $3.32
      BB:
      $2.17
      UTG1:
      $9.79


      Preflop: Hero is BU with J, J.
      6 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, SB folds, BB calls $0.15.

      Flop: ($0.42) 2, K, 7 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.30, BB calls $0.30.

      Turn: ($1.02) 4 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.71, BB calls $0.71.

      River: ($2.44) 6 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.96, Hero calls $0.96.

      Final Pot: $4.36.
      Results follow:

      Hero shows a pair of jacks(J J).BB shows a flush, jack high(J 7).BB wins with a flush, jack high(J 7).


      BB stats: 66/14/1.4/Ftocbet 46%(13)/WTSD 27%(37)/W$SD 50%(10)/68 hands

      So I need 22,02% of equity to break even. Well his showdown stats are quite good so I dont know if all my range can be applied but at least I will practice. So this is my range:

      Board: 2:spade: K:heart: 7:heart:  4:spade:  6:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      SB     19.47%  19.47%   0.00% { JhJc }
      BB     80.53%  80.53%   0.00% { KK+, 77-66, 44, 22, A7s, K2s+, Q7s, J7s, T7s, 97s, 87s, 76s, 64s, 62s, 42s, Ah5h, 8h5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, A7o, K2o+, Q7o, J7o }


      I don t know if this range is correct but I even doubt it but I m not sure if I can assume that he has also bluffs or pairs turned into a bluff in his range. So if I put it correct I should fold on the river at least if I take for the stat WTSD and W$SD
  • 2 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      I don't like it at all. I don't really see what you beat on the river? Especially when he is even passive guy, Kx is definitely possible. I am folding on the river. :)

      Best Regards.
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      about his range - KK,77,66,22,44,AA, even if he is so lose and passive, IMO he is raising his monsters anyway at some point, so they are probably not in his range.. ( at river)

      About his river donk - he defiantly would put a block bet whit any Kx and 2 pair hands, so no need to call, you are not seeing worst anyway so often.