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[NL2-NL10] NL10 AQo turn play

    • yayasarika
      Joined: 25.09.2010 Posts: 59
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($10)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($10.64)
      UTG+1 ($2.86)
      UTG+2 ($10.25)
      MP1 ($7.82)
      MP2 ($10)
      CO ($10.62)
      BTN ($4)

      Dealt to Hero A:diamond: Q:club:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, MP2 calls $0.10, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.50, fold, MP2 calls $0.40

      FLOP ($1.10) Q:diamond: K:club: A:club:

      Hero bets $0.90, MP2 calls $0.90

      TURN ($2.90) Q:diamond: K:club: A:club: T:club:

      Hero bets $1.80, MP2 calls $1.80

      RIVER ($6.50) Q:diamond: K:club: A:club: T:club: A:heart:

      Hero bets $6.80 (AI), MP2 calls $6.80 (AI)

      Villain is loose passive, kind of calling station. playing 29/5 over 620 hands


      flop bet big for protection.

      Turn I'm out of position with two pair plus nut flush draw. So I have many outs but on this board I can never expect to be ahead if he calls and if he raise me I have to fold. on the other hand, If I check and he bets like pot I don't think I shouldn't have enough implied to call because if I hit I have to donk push river.

      even made a calc on his range and my ev here (he is loose so many Broadways and suited connectors etc.)
      Board: QdAcKcTc
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 29.87% 27.69% 2.18% { AdQc }
      SB 70.13% 67.95% 2.18% { JJ, AhAs, KdKh, KdKs, KhKs, QhQs, J9s-J7s, AhJh, AsJs, KdJd, KhJh, KsJs, QhJh, QsJs, JdTd, JhTh, JsTs, 9c8c, 9c7c, 8c7c, 9c6c, 8c6c, 7c6c, 7c5c, 6c5c, 6c4c, 5c4c, J9o-J8o, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AsJd, AsJh, AsJc, KdJh, KdJs, KdJc, KhJd, KhJs, KhJc, KsJd, KsJh, KsJc, QhJd, QhJs, QhJc, QsJd, QsJh, QsJc, JdTh, JdTs, JhTd, JhTs, JsTd, JsTh, JcTd, JcTh, JcTs }

      well river not much to say if he slowplayed a flush or straight he probably isnt folding so shove for value.

      What I want to know is if my line bet/fold line on turn is correct. And are the bet sizes good?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello yayasarika,

      The turn is actually really close. To avoid get shoved I might even sometimes just Check there and take a look at his actions. We might even able to continue there then. Since there ain't gonna be a lot worse hands which Call you on the turn already. :(

      Best Regards.