[NL2-NL10] AJ turn

    • Shady9966
      Joined: 31.01.2008 Posts: 1,314
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10.95)
      BB ($9.59)
      Hero ($11.84)
      UTG+1 ($10)
      CO ($7.83)
      BTN ($10)

      Dealt to Hero J:diamond: A:club:

      Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30

      FLOP ($0.85) 5:club: 4:heart: A:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.70, BB calls $0.70

      TURN ($2.25) 5:club: 4:heart: A:heart: A:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $1.90, BB raises to $5.16, Hero raises to $10.74 (AI), BB calls $3.33 (AI)

      RIVER ($19.23) 5:club: 4:heart: A:heart: A:spade: 8:heart:

      BB shows A:diamond: K:club:
      (Pre 74%, Flop 86.5%, Turn 86.4%)

      Hero shows J:diamond: A:club:
      (Pre 26%, Flop 13.5%, Turn 13.6%)

      BB wins $18.28

      a reg he raise cbet on the turn 50% ( 2 ) AF 1.3

      should i fold here?
  • 2 replies
    • johnbeattie85
      Joined: 11.09.2008 Posts: 716
      Bet/fold it. You are doing poorly vs most regs when raised since he isn’t calling worse aces pre and most likely wouldn’t shove them.

      ON the turn you can:

      (1) Check and try to get another bet from 66-QQ on the river. The downside of this play is missed value from draws. Upside, it protects you from bluffs and disguises your hand strength, meaning he is likely to value bet and bluff incorrectly on the river.

      (2) Bet to get value from draws and 66-QQ. This can be ok if you’re aggressive and opponent is suspicious, since the turn card diminishes your value combinations.
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Shady9966,

      Don't really see what I can much do with the stats here you gave me. Just see that he is rather passive and can't really base what kind of hands he can have there. Why not report VPIP/PFR or whatsoever stats? Which are actually much more important. Or even WTSD/W$SD. With that play I am Bet/Folding the turn without knowing much about the opponent.

      Also be aware that REG = a very wide definition. :) Reg can play 16/14, reg can play 25/21, for some reg can even mean a fish who is just regular.

      Best Regards.