[NL2-NL10] AKo

    • Nocco88
      Joined: 23.03.2010 Posts: 805
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
      SB ($10)
      Hero ($15.10)
      UTG ($12.69)
      CO ($12.54)
      BTN ($20.05)

      Dealt to Hero A:club: K:heart:

      fold, CO raises to $0.40, fold, fold, Hero raises to $1.40, CO calls $1

      FLOP ($2.85) 4:heart: K:diamond: 2:diamond:

      Hero bets $1.40, CO raises to $3.20, Hero raises to $13.70 (AI), CO calls $7.94 (AI)

      TURN ($25.13) 4:heart: K:diamond: 2:diamond: 2:club:

      RIVER ($25.13) 4:heart: K:diamond: 2:diamond: 2:club: J:diamond:

      Villain's stats: VPIP:25 PFR:21 AF:2.4 H:94

      He raised me, when i was cbet-ing. But i don't think that he had a KK, because he 4-bet me preflop if he has KK. So shove is good here, or fold?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Nocco88,

      Well, what could make him raise you might be the small CB size on drawy board. But now again being 125BB deep is the question if we really should go broke here? We can't exclude KK or even AA here since he may easily even trap with them while has the position. KK is just less likely since we hold one King. Also while being deeper he may Call with 44/22 here as well:

      Board: 4:heart: K:diamond: 2:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    53.49%  41.81%  11.69% { KK+, 44, 22, AKs, KJs+, AKo, KQo }
      UTG+1  46.51%  34.82%  11.69% { AcKh }

      So kind of close spot. Here we already have to expect the opponent to have KJ in his range to make it profitable and at some point it might even be the case. We need ~40% equity here for break-even.

      Best Regards.