[NL20-NL50] sh 25 river fold 2 pair

    • DeMarcohsp
      DeMarcohsp
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.06.2010 Posts: 1,975
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
      Hero ($45.85)
      BB ($25.01)
      UTG ($10)
      UTG+1 ($27.54)
      CO ($64.15)
      BTN ($26.74)

      Dealt to Hero T:diamond: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, CO calls $0.25, fold, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, CO calls $0.95

      FLOP ($2.65) Q:heart: K:club: 8:club:

      Hero bets $2, CO calls $2

      TURN ($6.65) Q:heart: K:club: 8:club: T:spade:

      Hero bets $4.40, CO calls $4.40

      RIVER ($15.45) Q:heart: K:club: 8:club: T:spade: 7:heart:

      Hero bets $10.50, CO raises to $56.55 (AI), Hero folds

      CO wins $34.67

      Villain is 49/6 with 10/26/50 agg freq over 73 hands

      I think that without any specific history this is a good fold because I don't see villain shoving here with air or QT/A :club: X :club: . At most it might be a slightly winning call but usually it should be a massive negative one, right?

      He did the same play against me few minutes before on a dry TT268 board and I folded then as well. Should this incline me towards a call?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      if he has showed before I would not really fold my two pair that spot. His range pf is just too wide that he would hit constantly his straights and 49/6 would very likely raise pf AJ, so that is only then J9 that would beat your hand.

      Ofcourse if you have seen shoving before then just c/c river to see what hands he is going to showdown
    • sausage646
      sausage646
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.03.2010 Posts: 567
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      Ofcourse if you have seen shoving before then just c/c river to see what hands he is going to showdown
      We are 183bb deep is this still a cc river, even we have seen him doing this 1 time before? / I mean it's only 73 hands...