[NL2-NL10] KJs 24.12

    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players - View hand 1581374
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      MP: $7.28 - VPIP: 15, PFR: 10, 3B: 2, AF: 2.0, Hands: 720
      CO: $2.27 - VPIP: 45, PFR: 18, 3B: 0, AF: Infinity, Hands: 22
      BTN: $5.00 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 7, AF: 1.9, Hands: 251
      SB: $2.56 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 11, 3B: 6, AF: 0.7, Hands: 228
      Hero (BB): $15.01 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 10, 3B: 4, AF: 2.4, Hands: 247683
      UTG: $3.00 - VPIP: 12, PFR: 8, 3B: 2, AF: 1.4, Hands: 373
      UTG+1: $2.75 - VPIP: 10, PFR: 8, 3B: 4, AF: Infinity, Hands: 253

      Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is BB with K :diamond: J :diamond:
      3 folds, CO calls $0.05, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, CO calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.52) A :diamond: 9 :heart: J :club: (2 players)
      Hero bets $0.36, CO raises to $2.02, Hero calls $1.66

      Turn: ($4.56) A :spade: (2 players)

      River: ($4.56) 2 :club: (2 players)

      Other stats: WTSD 44%(9), W$SD 25%(4)

      To break even I need 36,40%. So given this range which is based on stats regarding overall showdown and looseness :

      Board: A:diamond: 9:heart: J:club:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      CO     51.58%  40.80%  10.78% { 99, AJs, KJs, QTs+, J9s, T8s, AJo, KJo, QJo }
      BB     48.42%  37.64%  10.78% { KdJd }


      We get the correct equity. Would you agree with this?
  • 3 replies
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello Sikac,

      Nah, I don't really see why we should Call here. We haven't even invested much into the pot and he still has $1,66 left. Not really worth while not even knowing the opponent.

      We can set everything into the ranges but the question is from what do we take it? Why do you expect the opponent to make such a play?

      Best Regards.
    • HansTheGreat
      HansTheGreat
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 3,807
      Originally posted by veriz
      Hello Sikac,

      Nah, I don't really see why we should Call here. We haven't even invested much into the pot and he still has $1,66 left. Not really worth while not even knowing the opponent.

      We can set everything into the ranges but the question is from what do we take it? Why do you expect the opponent to make such a play?

      Best Regards.
      Because of his overall image at the table. I mean from what I got the action from the table his pretty light when it comes to shoves. If he would play min raise I would put him on an A since I saw him doing that. Steals very often so with most A he would have raised pre.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Well, he could be stealing a lot but it doesn't mean that he goes into maniac mode on such a flop. You made already a raise preflop and showed aggression and those opponents wont play so aggressively without having a hand. He could easily even call with his draw.