[NL2-NL10] NL2 set vs river donkbet

    • legalega
      legalega
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.10.2011 Posts: 16
      villan plays 12/7/1.3(agg) on 480 hands, seems passive. his pf range is 22+,AT+,broadways. flop comes draw heavy. my cbet should have been a little larger. after he pays it i see his range as FD and/or SD possibly something with top pair, so it means - AJ,AQ,QJ,KQ,JT. turn doesn't change much (except it gives me set). i think he very rarely has 9 here. same with river which he donkbets. he definitely could donkbet a busted draw or very likely AJ,QJ, JT..is there any chance he is ahead, with JJ or T9? and what to do here? call, 3bet or just go AI?

      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
      SB ($2)
      BB ($2)
      UTG ($0.60)
      UTG+1 ($3.70)
      CO ($2.21)
      Hero ($2.64)

      Dealt to Hero 8:heart: 8:club:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.06, fold, BB calls $0.04

      FLOP ($0.13) J:club: T:heart: 6:heart:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.08, BB calls $0.08

      TURN ($0.29) J:club: T:heart: 6:heart: 8:spade:

      BB checks, Hero bets $0.24, BB calls $0.24

      RIVER ($0.77) J:club: T:heart: 6:heart: 8:spade: 7:diamond:

      [color=red]BB bets $0.40, Hero ?
  • 1 reply
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello legalega,

      Nope, I doubt that he is paying you with a lot worse. While he is also rather passive he will more often have a made hand, which could easily even induce with 9x. Just take passive approach and the safe one.

      Best Regards.