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Nl20 SH, Facing Over Shove with Aces on bad flop

    • Heave112
      Heave112
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.03.2009 Posts: 471
      Pacific $20.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1583635
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: $19.63 - VPIP: 36, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.7, Hands: 165
      MP: $20.00 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 14, 3B: 4, AF: 3.7, Hands: 69
      CO: $31.85 - VPIP: 54, PFR: 16, 3B: 0, AF: 1.1, Hands: 90
      Hero (BTN): $50.17
      SB: $20.00 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 19, 3B: 8, AF: 6.6, Hands: 305
      BB: $23.65 - VPIP: 26, PFR: 7, 3B: 3, AF: 1.7, Hands: 105

      Pre Flop: ($0.30) Hero is BTN with A :heart: A :spade:
      2 folds, CO raises to $0.52, Hero raises to $1.86, 2 folds, CO calls $1.34

      Flop: ($4.02) 9 :diamond: 8 :club: T :heart: (2 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $3.01, CO raises to $29.99, Hero folds

      Final Pot: $10.04
      (Rake: $0.50)
      Guy seems fishy, but this flop Smashes his range. I simply cant see this call as +EV in the long run. So many 10x 9x hands that smash his range let alone 88,99,1010,jj,qj..
  • 5 replies
    • Heave112
      Heave112
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.03.2009 Posts: 471
      bumop
    • ragney
      ragney
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      ????????????????????

      Easiest fold in the world vs passive fish & semi-deepstacked. :facepalm:
    • Heave112
      Heave112
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.03.2009 Posts: 471
      I knew that, but the guy seemed pissed off when i folded xD . He's like NF, then he said he had 7's which ofc i call BS.
    • ragney
      ragney
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.08.2010 Posts: 2,417
      Originally posted by Heave112
      I knew that, but the guy seemed pissed off when i folded xD . He's like NF, then he said he had 7's which ofc i call BS.
      We have to work with range, and most of his range just beats us.

      This is a very wide range of him including some draws and we're barely 40% ahead.

      SB 61.16% 59.59% 1.56% KK-88, QJs, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, QJo, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o
      BB 38.84% 37.28% 1.56% AA


      Tighter range:
      SB 67.18% 65.63% 1.54% KK-88, QJs, T9s, 98s, QJo, T9o, 98o
      BB 32.82% 31.28% 1.54% AA
    • pleno1
      pleno1
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 19.11.2010 Posts: 5,596
      Yeh standard b/f, vs alot of villains we can level ourself into thinking that a larger bet is indicative of a pair+ draw, but in this case its probably 2 pair+.

      Vs his drawing range we aren't in great shape and vs his value range we're crushed.

      Ugly board :s_frown: