[NL20-NL50] NL20 SH KK vs big raise on flop

    • SPeedFANat1c
      Joined: 04.01.2009 Posts: 4,977
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($24.76)
      BB ($23.84)
      UTG ($49.29)
      UTG+1 ($20)
      CO ($21.06)
      Hero ($20.60)

      Dealt to Hero K:club: K:spade:

      fold, fold, CO raises to $0.40, Hero raises to $1.20, fold, fold, CO calls $0.80

      FLOP ($2.70) Q:spade: 6:club: J:club:

      CO checks, Hero bets $1.90, CO raises to $8.40, Hero raises to $19.40 (AI), CO calls $11

      TURN ($41.50) Q:spade: 6:club: J:club: 6:spade:

      RIVER ($41.50) Q:spade: 6:club: J:club: 6:spade: 7:club:

      35/19/1.4, raise cbet 11 (9), wtsd 35, W$sd 38, 143 hands

      Preflop I have to raise bigger, at least 4x. Was talking over skype so probably din't pay too much attention.

      And now such pasive fish c/r big. Would he do that with lets say top pair? They like to call those down and let me 'bluff'. With a flushdraw he should also call down, he is just too pasive to raise. So then what, maybe AQ could raise, and sets, two pairs.

      VS QQ-JJ,66,AQs,QJs,AQo,QJo

      I get 44% , but if there is no AQ, then I do very bad, only 22%. And when I invest those 19.40, I need at least 47%, not counting the rake.

      So the fold should be right decition, because at best we can flip.
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      you have backdoor flushdraw and overpair in 3-bet pot. Player stats are loose enough that I would not really going to fold there, since likely only 66 or QJ is ahead that spot (sometimes also JJ and QQ)

      Best regards,