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[NL20-NL50] QTo BTNvsSB

    • obrutmaster
      obrutmaster
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.08.2010 Posts: 435
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
      SB ($7.83)
      BB ($20)
      UTG ($31.49)
      CO ($37.80)
      Hero ($24.15)

      Dealt to Hero Q:diamond: T:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, SB calls $0.30, fold

      FLOP ($1) Q:club: 6:club: 4:heart:

      SB checks, Hero bets $0.75, SB raises to $1.80, Hero calls $1.05

      TURN ($4.60) Q:club: 6:club: 4:heart: 9:club:

      SB bets $5.63 (AI), Hero calls $5.63

      RIVER ($15.86) Q:club: 6:club: 4:heart: 9:club: 9:diamond:

      Hero shows Q:diamond: T:heart:
      (Pre 69%, Flop 94.8%, Turn 81.8%)

      SB shows T:spade: J:spade:
      (Pre 31%, Flop 5.2%, Turn 18.2%)

      Hero wins $15.07

      Villain Stats: 33/22/33 [VPIP/PFR/AGFq]
      FOLD sb vs Steal 69%
      3bet vs Steal: 21% (but he was FULL STACK and didn't rebuy)
      FOLD c/bet 23%, Donk 10%
      c/r FLOP 25%(36 situations)
      Hands: 936

      Hero Stats: BTN steal 60%
      Cbet: 60%

      Game Thinking I saw that he do c/r 25% this are a lot of flops and on that board i put him on a lot of flushdraw sd, low paires, 57s 4 combos. And Air.

      On the turn when he shoved i tought he my bluf with a lot of his blufs to represent the flush. I needed 35% equity to make this call break even. I give him 20 combos of Value Hands: 7 combos sets, 6 combos Q9, 7-9 combos Flush thant means that i need arround 7 combos of blufs to be break even... I tought i have this combos but when I reviewed the hand i think this was a bad call... What do you think?
  • 2 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Hi,

      I would played the same way. TP that spot is too strong to b/f against midstack fish.

      Best regards,
    • x3mwisp
      x3mwisp
      Black
      Joined: 31.03.2009 Posts: 3,604
      I actually believe that on the flop is ok with the plan to be shoving/calling the turn on every blank. Tha 9 though is so bad for you (cause hitting his range almost always). I mean in order to be +ev he should be bluffing with a ton of complete air on the flop and shoving the turn with it).