[NL2-NL10] A8

    • cozacu
      cozacu
      Bronze
      Joined: 14.02.2010 Posts: 1,379
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

      Play hand

      $0.02/$0.04 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)

      Known players:
      BU (Hero):
      $5.42
      SB:
      $4.00
      BB:
      $13.55
      MP3:
      $4.47
      CO:
      $4.32


      Preflop: Hero is BU with 8, A.
      2 folds, Hero raises to $0.10, SB folds, BB calls $0.06.

      Flop: ($0.22) A, 4, 8 (2 players)
      BB bets $0.04, Hero raises to $0.16, BB calls $0.12.

      Turn: ($0.54) 9 (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $0.40, BB calls $0.40.

      River: ($1.34) 3 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.28, [I][COLOR=grey]Hero ???

      Final Pot: $1.34.

      villain 74/29 3bet12.1 af 2.4 85hands
  • 2 replies
    • cpers
      cpers
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.04.2011 Posts: 563
      I think it's pretty close here. Against (44,88,99,33,A3) you probably only have 30% equity, we're ahead if we add A5 to his range but I kinda doubt it, he probably would've raise those on the turn. So I prefer a fold here.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello cozacu,

      We need ~33% equity here and if we expect him even to play here with worse 2pairs this way, for example:

      Board: A:heart: 4:spade: 8:diamond:  9:diamond:  3:spade:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      UTG    57.58%  51.52%   6.06% { 99-88, 44, A9s-A8s, A4s-A3s, 52s, A9o-A8o, A4o-A3o }
      UTG+1  42.42%  36.36%   6.06% { Ac8s }

      Then we are able to play the hand profitable. But of course it's really close spot overall since if he really had 2pairs then why didn't he raise them earlier? So both options are even fine since we still have to invest $1,28 into a pot where we have invested only half of the money. So folding is even considerable and possible as well.

      Best Regards.