[NL20-NL50] AQo nl25 #4

    • siweq86
      Joined: 28.12.2009 Posts: 8,742
      PartyGaming - $0.25 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 3 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      SB: $30.13
      BB: $25.00
      Hero (BTN): $26.10

      min3bet/fold SB/BU after my fish isolate
      40BB raise/shove 67s UTG/BB
      3xbet vs fish on T55K9 w/ air
      TPGK bet/min3b vs minraise from fish

      SB posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

      Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero has A:diamond: Q:club:

      Hero raises to $0.63, fold, BB raises to $2.02, Hero calls $1.39

      Flop: ($4.14, 2 players) A:spade: 8:spade: 2:club:
      BB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

      Turn: ($8.14, 2 players) 9:club:
      BB bets $6.19, Hero calls $6.19

      River: ($20.52, 2 players) 5:diamond:
      BB bets $14.79 and is all-in, Hero calls $14.79

      I'm almost sure that i should call flop and fold T.

      I think that AQo is too strong to 4bet/fold (fold to 4bet 0/2) i too strong to fold to 3bet in position His 3bet from bb 3/33.
      Easy call, i don't see too much value in raise, only AJ, some draws drawów
      I think i should fold here. 9:club: is blank. He know that with big bet he's isolating to draws and Ax+ I need ~30% to call.

      Stół: A:spade: 8:spade: 2:club: 9:club:
      Equity Wygrana Podział
      MP2 60.74% 53.24% 7.50% { AA, 99-88, 22, AJs+, 98s, KsQs, KsJs, QsJs, KsTs, QsTs, JsTs, AJo+ }
      MP3 39.26% 31.76% 7.50% { AdQc }

      On this range i have 30% but i don't know is he play this line with AJ/draws. It looks more like AK, nuts + his he propably don't bet draw with this sizing because he should know that i'm not gonna fold Ax. So i think i should fold turn
  • 2 replies
    • CallumN
      Joined: 04.01.2012 Posts: 1,141
      Some stats would be useful but in general im calling down.

      You have missed out a bunch of back door flush draws aswell like JTcc QJcc etc

      Stats would be need to justify him 3betting 88/99/22 also which should bump up our equity
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343

      I don´t see any reason why he should not barrel turn with his draws and for that reason I would shove AQ for value. I likely end up calling him down anyway on the turn and he would b/c turn his draws that he might not shove river, so not making mistake folding better hand on the river I would like to get all-in myself on the turn.