[NL2-NL10] NL 10 SH JJ river donk

    • dooleslovs
      dooleslovs
      Platinum
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      iPoker - $0.10 NL - Holdem - 5 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

      CO: $10.00
      BTN: $13.31
      SB: $4.96
      Hero (BB): $12.92
      UTG: $20.34

      SB posts SB $0.05, Hero posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero has J:club: J:diamond:

      fold, CO raises to $0.30, fold, fold, Hero calls $0.20

      Flop: ($0.65, 2 players) Q:spade: 7:club: Q:heart:
      Hero checks, CO bets $0.65, Hero calls $0.65

      Turn: ($1.95, 2 players) Q:club:
      Hero checks, CO bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10

      River: ($4.15, 2 players) 2:spade:
      Hero bets $2.20

      what do you think about this play?

      OPP 23/19/4.2/21 foldt3bet 88% cbetF 70, cbetT 55, over 2k hands
  • 6 replies
    • Jan217
      Jan217
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2009 Posts: 626
      I think given his aggression id let him barrel. I would only consider donking the river if you think he will often c/back 7s and pocket pairs <JJ, If you donk and he shoves you also have an ugly spot getting 2:1.
    • Caffinejedi
      Caffinejedi
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.10.2011 Posts: 15
      I like the donk on the river. Villians range is 88-AA, AK-AT, KQ, maybe some other random hands, but that is not important.
      He will usually just check behind all worse hands. But bet AA, KK and Qx. His calling frequency to your donk on the river doesnt really change if you make a bigger bet.
      His betting size on the turn is small, I asume he would bet bigger with a Q there. So he would bet only AA, KK, JJ, TT on the river.
      vs the donk he would call AA, KK, JJ, TT, 99, 88.
      You have 3 of those beat, only 2 beat you. Together with the fact that he doesnt really change his calling frequency, I would bet more.
      A good size is 2,80. Maybe 3 cent more EV ;)
      Against a raise on the river you have an easy fold. But I dont see any hands raising.
    • Caffinejedi
      Caffinejedi
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.10.2011 Posts: 15
      Originally posted by Jan217
      I think given his aggression id let him barrel. I would only consider donking the river if you think he will often c/back 7s and pocket pairs <JJ, If you donk and he shoves you also have an ugly spot getting 2:1.
      I dont think its a good 3 barrel spot as the board is very dry. Some more stats on Villian would be nice. We need his cbet river and agg factor on the river.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Hello dooleslovs,

      The opponent most likely wouldn't Bet the river anyways unless he is a maniac. So seems to be like a nice hand!

      Depends also on some factors, I might even prefer for value. :)

      Best Regards.
    • cekpirus88
      cekpirus88
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.06.2011 Posts: 441
      I think I would have 3 bet pre flop between 90 or 1.10 depending on his statistics. Also because we are going to play the hand OOP..
      I do not understand I folded on your bet on the river? thanks
    • dooleslovs
      dooleslovs
      Platinum
      Joined: 17.02.2011 Posts: 481
      thanks everybody for reply, about the donk size, I chose half pot becouse I thought evean small PP could call that, I did not 3bet couse he is folding 88% against 3bet so I would isolate myself against very strong range. He called down(!!) w AA but I still like my Donk.