[NL2-NL10] nl2 fr party - 99 vs 25% 3betting aggromonkey

    • slipkn6t
      slipkn6t
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.06.2011 Posts: 5,582
      Play hand

      $0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Known players:
      MP2 (Hero):
      $1.28
      MP3:
      $9.14
      CO:
      $2.00
      BU:
      $2.15
      SB:
      $6.48
      BB:
      $2.99

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with 9, 9.
      CO posts deadblind, Hero raises to $0.06, 3 folds, SB raises to $0.40, BB folds, Hero raises to $1.28 (allin!), SB calls $0.88.
      Final Pot: $2.6.

      Results follow:
      Hero shows 9 9 :s_biggrin:
      SB shows 4 4 :facepalm:

      Villain stats:


      My thoughts during the hand:
      There are only 2.5% (now I know it's 2.26%) of hands in his range that are ahead of 99 (TT+). Sometimes he will cold calls with AA/KK to trap, so there are only ~2% "ahead of 99 hands" in his 25% 3betting range. That means he rarely has this 2% here, I'm allin :pokerface:

      My thoughts after the hand:
      I know I should open raise to 4bb, I didn't notice the CO's blind.
  • 1 reply
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hey,

      Your thoughts are wrong because you didn't consider the sample size. 25% of 28 is 7 attempts which can be 2 bluffs, 4 resteals and 3 value 3bets for example.

      Now he does play aggressive (VPIP 47:P FR 36) so I go all-in here as well but you should take the sample size into consideration

      Best regards,
      Gerv